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2014 AL Wild Card Pick

Tuesday, September 30, 2014

Oakland.

Look, this is dumb.  It's a baseball game, the worst team in the league is going to beat the best team over a third of the time - picking the winner in one playoff game is dumb.

That said - Oakland.  They've got a 15 pythagorean win advantage and the better pitcher. I'll take the A's, thanks.



2014 MLB Awards Ballot

Monday, September 29, 2014

Here were the 5 best players, by position and then overall, in MLB in 2014. The WAR is B-Ref +Davenport

C J. Lucroy Mil 6.1
    R. Martin Pit 5.9
    B. Posey SFG 5.65
    D. Mesoraco Cin 4.55
    Y. Gomes Cle 3.75

1B J. Abreu CWS 5.85
     A. Rizzo Chi 5.75
     S. Pearce Bal 5.6
     M. Cabrera Det 5.55
     A. Gonzalez LAD 5.2
 
2B R. Cano Sea 7.2
      J. Altuve Hou 6.75
      H. Kendrick LAA 5.15
      B. Dozier Min 4.6
      I. Kinsler Det 4.55
   
SS T. Tulowitzki Det 5.35
      J. Peralta StL 5.2
      J. Rollins Phi 4
      B. Crawford SFG 3.85
      A. Ramirez CWS 3.7
     
3B J. Donaldson Oak 7.3
      K. Seager Sea 6.65
      J. Harrison Pit 5.75
      A. Beltre Tex 5.6
      A. Rendon Was 5.5

LF M. Brantley Cle 6.55
      A. Gordon KV 5.15
      S. Smith SD 4.05
      M. Holliday StL 3.9
      JD Martinez Det 3.9
     
CF M. Trout LAA 7.5 - AL MVP
      A. McCutchen Pit 6.3
      C. Gomez Mil 5.05
      L. Cain KC 4.4
      A. Eaton CWS 4.05
   
RF G. Stanton Mia 7
      J. Heyward Atl 6.1
      J. Bautista Tor 7.25
      Y. Puig LAD 5.4
      J. Werth Was 4.5

DH V. Martinez Det 5.9
       N. Cruz Bal 4.7
       D. Ortiz Bos 3.4

P C. Kershaw LAD 8.65 - NL MVP, NL Cy
    C. Kluber Cle 7.85 - AL Cy
    A. Wainwright StL 7.2
    J. Cueto Cin 6.9
    C. Hamels Ph 6.6
    F. Hernandez Sea 6.3
    C. Sale CWS 6.2
    M. Scherzer Det 6.05
    J. Arrieta Chi 5.5
    Z. Greinke LAD 5.4


   
   


     
 
     
   
     

     
     
   

     

Wrapping it Up - the 2014 San Francisco Giants

You can find 2013 here.


The 2014 Giants seem relatively unremarkable with 87 pythagorean wins,  However, out of 56 seasons, this is the first time they've hit that specific number. This is going to make the 2014 team the 21st best regular season SFG team ever.  Each year, I break down the individual player performance by WAR (B-Ref+Davenport) to put the season in perspective. The number next to each player represents his WAR.

C Buster Posey 5.65 - Posey's second best season, meaning its the second best SFG catching season ever.  

1B Brandon Belt 1.4 - Between McCovey's 1960 and '77 on the all time SFG first base list.  Belt gives up almost 3 and a half wins from the previous year.

2B Joe Panik 1.8 - A tick ahead of Robby Thompson's '87 season. A half win less than Scutaro from the previous year.  

SS Brandon Crawford 3.85 - the 5th best SFG shortstop season ever, behind Aurilia '01 and a bunch of Speiers.  A 2 win gain from '13.

3B Pablo Sandoval 4.05 - if this is it for Pablo it's his third best season, between two from should be in the Hall of Fame Darrell Evans. Almost a two win pickup.

LF Mike Morse 2.05 - between Kuenn's '62 and Herndon's '81, slight uptick from Blanco's production in '13.

LF Gregor Blanco 1.45

CF Angel Pagan 1.5 - between '02 Shinjo and '72 Maddox. Almost a half win pickup from '13.

RF Hunter Pence 3.55 - between Moises in '05 and Burks a decade earlier.  Gives back over two wins from the year before.  

C Andrew Susac 1.0 - in less than 100 PA.  

SP Madison Bumgarner 5.0 - tied with '12 Cain and '01 Ortiz. Almost half a win better than any pitcher in '13. The Giants haven't had a better season from a pitcher in five years.

      Jake Peavy 1.95

      Tim Hudson 1.05

      Tim Lincecum -1.1 - three straight sub replacement seasons.
      
RP Santiago Casilla 2.45 -Between Romo's '12 and Stu Miller from '59.  A half win gain from Romo's '13.  
      
     Jean Machi 1.65

     Jeremy Affeldt 1.5

     






September, 2014 Athlete of the Month

Sunday, September 28, 2014

August is here.


Serena Williams.  Runners-up:  Floyd Mayweather, Marcus Mariota, Andrew Luck

9 months down - 3 to go in the race for the 2014 Athlete of the Year.  

January - Kevin Durant
February - Malcolm Smith
March - Breanna Stewart
April- Meb Keflezigh
May - Troy Tulowitzki
June - Lionel Messi
July -  Novak Djokovic
August - Rory McIlroy
September - Serena Williams


I Pick Football Games, Week 4 2014

Thursday, September 25, 2014

Last week is here.

College 9-20
NFL 10-10

Arizona St + 4 UCLA loss
Tenn + 17 UGA win
Indiana -4 Mary loss
Iowa -9 Purdue win
Syracuse +12 ND loss
UTSA -5.5 FAU loss
Nev -5 SJ St win

3-4
12-24


NYG +3.5 Wash win
Tenn +7.5 Ind loss
Oak +4 Mia loss
TB +7.5 Pitt win
Jax +12.5 SD loss
SF -5 Phil push
Minn +3 Atl win

3-3
13-13

I Pick Football Games, Week 3 2014

Thursday, September 18, 2014

Last week is here.

NFL 7-3
NCAA 6-13

I'm doubling up on my NFL picks this week.

Tampa +6 Atlanta loss
StL +1.5 Dall loss 
NYG +2 Hou win
Buff -2.5 SD loss
Jax +7 Indy loss
Tenn +6.5 Cin loss
Den +5 Sea loss
Pitt +3.5 Carol win
Det -2.5 GB win
NYJ -3 Chi loss
3-7
10-10

UConn +2 SFla loss 
FAU +4 Wyo win
Fla +14.5 Ala loss
Mia OH +28 Cin win
Mia +7 Neb loss 
Idaho +13.5 Ohio win
Ill -14 Tex St loss 
N Ill +14.5 Ark loss 
Wake +5 Arm loss
Ari -9.5 Cal loss 

3-7
9-20

Top Ten Side Projects by Members of The State

Sunday, September 14, 2014

2014-15 might be one of the biggest years for former members of The State with Ken Marino and Tom Lennon scoring leads in network sitcoms.  Leading to this - the ten best side projects by members of the State.  This is only a list of their own projects, ones where they had some level of prominence/creative input as to ones where they were relatively small hired hands on larger endeavors (so, Memento doesn't count, Night at the Museum does).

1. Stella (both stage and television series)
2. Children's Hospital
3. Burning Love
4. Reno 911 (series and film)
5. My Custom Van
6. Topics
7. Wet Hot American Summer
8. Wanderlust
9. Mike and Tom Eat Snacks
10. @michaelianblack


10 Best Television Shows of 2014 (July-Sep)

April through June is here.

75% of 2014 is gone, here's the next ten shows as we work through 2014.

1. Please Like Me (Pivot)
2. Last Week Tonight (HBO)
3. You're the Worst (FXX)
4. Masters of Sex (HBO)
5. The Daily Show (Com Cen)
6. The Colbert Report (Com Cen)
7. Wilfred (FXX)
8. Nathan For You (Com Cen)
9. Almost Royal (BBCA)
10. Married at First Sight (FYI)

I Pick Football Games, Week 2 2014

Thursday, September 11, 2014

Last week was here.

NFL: 3-2
College: 5-7

College
South Florida +2 NC St loss
Kent +32 Ohio St loss
WKY +1 Mid Tenn loss 
W Mich +2.5 Idaho win
Army +28 Stan loss
Tulsa +1 FAU loss
USC -17 BC loss

1-6
6-13

NFL
Cleve +6.5 NO win
SD +6 Sea win
Oak +3 Hou loss
KC +13 Den win
NYJ +8.5 GB win

4-1
7-3



I Pick Football Games, Week 1 2014

Wednesday, September 3, 2014

My college picks from last weekend were here.

As was the case last season, I'm in a mirror of the LVH Supercontest, so I'll be sharing my picks each week here.  That's likely to be a later in the week thing, but with the season starting tomorrow night, I'm getting this in now.

I'll edit in my college picks when its more timely. Done.

Atlanta + 3 NO win
StL -3.5 Minn loss
Jax +10.5 Phil loss
Buff +7 Chi win
Mia +5 NE win

ECarolina +16.5 SCarolina win
Toledo +4 Missouri loss 
Iowa St +12 Kansas St.win
Vandy +20 Ole Miss loss
CMich +3 Purdue win
Temple +3 Navy loss 
Wyo +2 AForce win

4-3
5-7

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