Who did I pick at the beginning of the season...let's check...Patriots v. Rams.
Who am I picking Sunday?
Rams +2.5
Rams outright
I've been rooting for the Rams, as I mentioned in my playoff preview. There will be a point where the Niners will be good enough that this becomes a real rivalry and I'll be steadfastly opposed to them - but right now, like all decent people, who I'm steadfastly opposed to is New England and I'd like them to lose by 4 touchdowns.
They won't lose by four touchdowns, but over the course of the regular season, the Rams were the better team (better by FPI, solidly better by SRS) and that's almost always who I pick. The best team in the NFL this season was New Orleans - and the Rams just went on the road and beat them. Smart money has sided with the Patriots and that should give one pause, but why pick New England when they come in as the lesser squad?
Here's my annual Super Bowl posts that I update after every year's game and will do so again after Sunday.
Re-awarded MVP
Top 25 Individual Performances in SB History
Ten Best Super Bowls of all Time
Ten Best Teams Not to Play in the Super Bowl
SB Quarterbacks
Ten Best Teams Who Didn't Win a Super Bowl
Every SB Winner Ranked
Greatest Players in SB History