2014 NFC/AFC Championship Game Picks

Wednesday, January 14, 2015

I was 3-1 straight up and 3-1 ATS last week.

I'm 6-2 against the spread in the playoffs. There are worse records.

I also had the national title game right against the spread (not outright, however, but who cares about that, lets be honest).

I'm sticking with my formula thusfar.

AFC Colts +7 Patriots (NE outright)
NFC Packers +7.5 Seahawks (Seattle outright)

The three best teams this season are the two I'm picking here to go to the SB, the third was Denver, but Manning fell off a cliff and that's all it takes.  The Packers were the fourth best team and have the league's best player, even though they're bigger dogs than the Colts, I'd be less surprised by a Green Bay win.

Forever Giants:1947 New York Giants(Year 65)

1946 is here.

My WAR calculation is a combination of Baseball-reference and Clay Davenport; I believe it to be the "best" WAR number available for historical comparison. 8 WAR is an MVP quality season. The record is pythagorean adjusted for 162 games.

1947 87-75
C Walker Cooper  4.4 
1B Johnny Mize 6.55 
2B Bill Rigney 3.15
SS Buddy Kerr 3.2
3B Jack Lohrke .45
LF Sid Gordon .95 
CF Bobby Thomson 2.95 
RF Willard Marshall 6.05 
OF Gary Gearhart -.25
2B Buddy Blattner .55 
2B Mickey Witek .3 
C Ernie Lombardi .35 
OF Joe Lafata -.2
SP Larry Jansen 5.05
SP Dave Koslo  1.15 
SP Monty Kennedy 0 
SP Clint Hartung  1.95

-The Giants set the MLB record for homers and a season and have their first over .500 pythag since '42 in Ott's last season as a player.  

Connor played with Davis played with Mathewson played with Roush played with Ott.

Hall of Famers connecting the Giants from 1883-1947.  

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