Saturday, November 10, 2012
How to tie in the two major events of the past two weeks? One image.
Tendown 143 was here. This is Tendown 144.
1. We Win.
For the second time in three years, and the second time in their over half a century of existence, the San Francisco Giants won the World Series.
That doesn't mean we were the best team in baseball this season. We weren't. We got into an increasingly watered down playoff system and won the tournament. I'm not going to give it back though.
Tuesday, just about as many good things as is possible on an election day in America happened. Gay marriage and marijuana legalization passed. Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren (Elizabeth Warren!) became US Senators. The crew who thought turning rape into lemonade might be a potent political message found themselves headed home. I postponed my move to a new congressional district long enough to be part of the 2,000 vote margin that sent Allen West back to private life. The right wing bubble, inside of which evolution is a liberal plot, climate change is a disproven liberal plot, tax cuts to the wealthy create national prosperity and half the country doesn't pay taxes got pierced momentarily when the noise machine made the mistake of adding "the polls are computed in a way designed to lie to Republicans" into their fact free universe. Any Tuesday in November that ends with Karl Rove, having raised 400 million dollars for Romney while simultaneously working as an analyst on Fox, making a "news" network take back its calling the election for Obama because the votes for Delaware County in Ohio weren't fully counted yet is a good Tuesday in November.
Since Tendown 143, you could have seen both of the following
What could be more fun than that?
But that doesn't make the Democratic coalition of non white Christian men the permanent majority. And it doesn't make Obama, even though you like his manner, a progressive. It means we're unlikely to bomb Iran and your insurance company (as mine does) won't be able to exclude your pre-existing conditions much longer. It means the bounceback of generally accepted key economic metrics won't be largely credited to the magical free market. It means that a candidate who threw around the phrase "illegal alien" as freely as did Romney is unlikely to make his way through the Republican nomination process in future elections.
It was a good Tuesday in November. But it wasn't forever.
I'm not going to give it back though. I'm glad I was on the correct side of the prognostication Tuesday. And not, say, any of these fine folks.:
[M]y thoughts, my intellectual analysis of this—factoring everything I see plus the polling data—it's not even close. Three hundred-plus electoral votes for Romney. (Nov. 5, Rush Limbaugh, RushLimbaugh.com, “Everything—Except the Polls—Points to a Romney Landslide”)
Barack Obama is toast. This is not something I say lightly. I generally try to remain cautious about predictions, because the prediction business is a humbling one. I have never been especially bullish on Mitt Romney, and I spent most of the summer and early fall arguing that this was basically a neck-and-neck race that would go down to the wire. But in the end, two things stand out: One, Mitt Romney has a consistent, significant lead among independent voters, which increasingly looks like a double-digit lead. … Two, to overcome losing independents by more than a few points, Obama needs to have a decisive advantage in Democratic turnout, roughly on the order of—or in some places exceeding—the advantage he enjoyed in 2008, when Democrats nationally had a 7-point advantage (39-32). Yet nearly every indicator we have of turnout suggests that, relative to Republicans, the Democrats are behind where they were in 2008. (Oct. 26, Dan McLaughlin, Red State,“Why I Think Obama Is Toast”)
How corrupt are all these polls showing Obama leading or in a “close race”? Are they to Obama what that California poll of the Washington Post was for Walter Mondale—an “in-kind contribution”? … How does one explain a president who, like Jimmy Carter in 1980, is increasingly seen as a disaster in both economic and foreign policy? How does a President Obama, with a Gallup job approval rating currently at 49% – down a full 20% from 2009 – mysteriously win the day in all these polls? How does this happen? Can you say “in-kind contribution”? (Sept. 25, Jeffrey Lord, American Spectator, “How Carter Beat Reagan”)
This country was founded upon Judeo-Christian values of free speech and freedom of religion. A tea party revolution launched the Revolutionary War and Americans in the colonies stood up against tyranny and those who attempted to change our beliefs. Obama’s European socialism and his high taxes, high unemployment, high gasoline prices and huge debt are being rejected at each turn. Americans are mad as hell and they are not going to take it anymore! We see, “Romney in a landslide!”(August 4, Editorial Board, U-T San Diego,“Romney in a Landslide”)
I'm also glad not to have to be the side who believes this is a good thing. They were voting at one in the morning on election day in Miami. Uniquely American.
2. Goodbye Congressman West.
My Congressman was Allen West.
Here's what we'll miss.