2018 MLB Playoff Predictions

Monday, October 1, 2018

AL Wild Card: NYY over Oak
NL Wild Card: Cubs over Colo

AL Division: Boston over NYY
                      Houston over Cle

ALCS: Houston over Boston

NL Division: Cubs over Milwaukee
                      Dodgers over Atl

NLCS:  Dodgers over Cubs

World Series: Houston over LA Dodgers

Where are the Giants?

Well, the Yankees have McCutchen, who was a Giant a second and a half ago.

Cory Guerrin and Yusmeiro Petit are with the A's.

Eduardo Nunez and Heath Hembree are in Boston

Melky and Rajai Davis are with the Indians.

Forever Giants: 2018 San Francisco Giants Year 61 (Franchise Year 136)

2017 is here.

My WAR calculation is a combination of Baseball-reference and Clay Davenport; I believe it to be the "best" WAR number available for historical comparison. 8 WAR is an MVP quality season.  The record is pythagorean adjusted for 162 games.

2018 (70-92)
C Buster Posey 2.95
1B Brandon Belt 2.3
2B Joe Panik .7
SS Brandon Crawford 3.25
3B Evan Longoria .85
LF Hunter Pence -.95
CF Gorkys Hernandez .2
RF Andrew McCutchen 2.05
2B Alen Hanson .65
C Nick Hundley .35
3B Pablo Sandoval .15
LF Austin Slater .15
CF Gregor Blanco -.9

SP Madison Bumgarner 2.8
SP Derek Rodriguez 2.65
SP Derek Holland 2.1
SP Johnny Cueto 1.25
SP Andrew Suarez .4
SP Ty Blach .25
SP Chris Stratton -.95
SP Jeff Samardzija -.85

RP Tom Watson 2.5
RP Sam Dyson 1.8
RP Reyes Moronta 1.85
RP Will Smith 1.55

-two of the worst half dozen seasons in 61 years of San Francisco baseball are back-to-back; the organization and the beat writers who view their job as nodding when the organization says things make clear that a rebuild is not coming; hopefully, a new GM will not be so disposed.

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