I Pick Football Games, Week 5 2014

Thursday, October 2, 2014

Last week is here

College 12-24
NFL 13-13

Memphis +4,5 Cin win
Neb +7 Mich St. win 
SD St +3 Fresno loss
VT -2 UNC win
SCar -5 Kentucky loss
Hawaii +6.5 Rice loss
Nev +3.5 Boise loss


TB +10 NO win
Minn +9 GB loss 
StL +7 Phi win 
Jax +6 Pit loss
NYJ +6.5 SD loss
Cin -1 NE loss


2014 AL Playoff Picks

Angels over Royals
Orioles over Tigers
Orioles over Angels

The Angels have a 12 pythag win advantage over Kansas City; they don't have any lineup holes and their biggest weakness, the health of the starting pitching, will be masked a little in a shorter series (and with Shields' unavailability until Game 3).  I'll take the Angels.

The Orioles have an 8 pythag win advantage over Detroit, largely because they hit about eleven million homers this year.  The Tigers starting pitching advantage is maybe a little overblown and they give back a healthy chunk with the bullpen.  Baltimore shouldn't be the underdog in the series.

If the Angels rotation was a little healthier, I'd go the other way - but instead, I'll take the unlikely Baltimore Orioles to win the AL pennant.

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