In the South...
Rnd 1:
Kansas.
UConn over Colorado in the 8/9
South Dakota St. in a largely warrantless 12/5 win over Maryland (senior guard play, Maryland's inconsistent, I don't have Maryland advancing through to the sweet 16, but thats it)
Cal
I had Wichita in the play in game and I'm (in a post pic change! Post pic!) going to roll them through Arizona.
Miami
Temple over Iowa in the 7/10, they aren't as good, but are playing better and the Philly matchup in Round 2 is too hard not to root for.
Nova
Rnd 2:
Kansas
Cal (they could get bounced in round one, I'll sweat that out)
Wichita (post pic! I've got Wichita going through Miami into the Sweet 16! We must be maniacs! That's a bad pic, incidentally, for your brackets, Miami obviously gets into this round whereas Wichita is climbing uphill to beat Arizona. It's dopey.
Nova
Sweet 16
Kansas (I want to pick Cal, but they're more likely to get bounced in Round 1; if they're here though, they are a game upset pick and I'll be rooting for them)
Nova
Elite 8
Kansas (One of my models has Nova winning whole thing)
In the West...
Rnd One
Oregon
Cincinnati over St Joes in a total coin flip.
Yale over Baylor in a 12/5 - that's not an unreasonable pick, Yale's underseeded, Baylor could also go to the sweet 16, so it's high risk.
Duke - I'd like to go the other way and pick Wilmington, which is not unreasonable and I've thought about it; this is a tough group, you tell me any of the four teams come out of it and I'm not shocked.
Texas, although I've got one model with UNI.
A&M
VCU over Oregon St in the 7/10.
Oklahoma
Rnd Two
Oregon
Duke - but again, I don't feel good about this group; I'll certainly be heavy for Yale if they're in this game and they could win it.
A&M
Oklahoma
Sweet 16
Oregon
Oklahoma
Elite 8
Oklahoma (I've got them in the Final Four in every model)
East...
Rnd 1
Carolina
USC (that's different than the pic, most of my models have Providence and I think Providence is going to win, but I'm not picking against my squad in round one)
IU
UK
So, if Michigan beats Tulsa, I'm taking the Wolverines over Notre Dame - if they don't, I'm taking Notre Dame over Tulsa.
West Virginia
Pitt over Wisconsin in the 7/10, that more readily goes the other way, but I have this winner bounced in the next round
Xavier
Rnd 2
Carolina
Kentucky over Indiana in what will be a thing. Biggest IU game in awhile.
West Virginia
X
Sweet 16
Carolina
West Virginia (I really like Xavier, I could see either of them going to the Final Four)
Elite 8
West Virginia (SFA is a game round one opponent for WVA, they do sort of the same thing, if they're gone before the first weekend I tear up the bracket)
Midwest
Rnd One
Virginia
Butler over TTech in the 8/9
Purdue
Iona - I don't have Iowa getting over Pudue in any model, so this is a low downside calculation
Gonzaga (coin flip game over Seton Hall)
Utah
Syracuse (the opposite rationale of my Temple/Iowa pick)
Michigan St
Rnd 2
UVA
Purdue
Gonzaga - this is not a great pick, it's only an okay Zags squad, but that's the deal with Utah also, and Seton Hall might beat them both
Michigan St.
Sweet 16
Purdue (I've got a model with Virginia going to the title game)
Michigan St
Elite 8
Michigan St.
So, Final Four...
Oklahoma over Kansas
Michigan St over West Virginia
Kansas is the best team in the field - but what I want is that Hield/Valentine game.
Champion
Michigan St.
