Historically, I've been particularly good against the Vegas line when predicting season win totals.
Here's my prediction for the 2015-16 NBA season. Which starts today. Vegas total in parentheses. I see a lot of opportunities.
I'm picking a Warriors/Cavs rematch. If you have to invest, right now, pick the Cavs, given the distance between them and the rest of the east. If any of the top 5 teams in the West won the conference it wouldn't surprise.
I'm going to pick the Warriors, by a tiny margin I think they're the best team - and when the team you root for happens to be the best team, you pick them.
East
Cleveland 59 (56.5) Eastern Conference Champs
Atlanta 48 (50)
Chicago 47 (50)
Boston 46 (45.5)
Toronto 44 (46.5)
Miami 43 (47)
Washington 42 (47)
Indiana 40 (41.5)
Milwaukee 40 (44.5)
Charlotte 38 (34)
Detroit 37 (36.5)
Orlando 32 (34.5)
New York 26 (30)
Brooklyn 24 (27.5)
Philadelphia 22 (21)
West
World Champion Golden St. Warriors 60 (59.5) Western Conference Champs
San Antonio 56 (57)
OKC 55 (57)
LA Clippers 55 (57)
Houston 54 (56.5)
Memphis 50 (51)
New Orleans 46 (46.5)
Utah 42 (42.5)
Dallas 39 (36.5)
Phoenix 38 (37)
Sacramento 36 (35.5)
Portland 33 (28)
Denver 29 (27.5)
LA Lakers 25 (28)
Minnesota 24 (28.5)
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