I enjoy television. I enjoy award shows. Occasionally, I am successful in making predictions about the outcome of television award shows.
The Emmys are Sunday.
Drama: Mad Men
-That would be 4 straight, a significant number. Boardwalk would be the only other possibility. Mad Men should win; there is no Breaking Bad in the eligibility period, and there isn't another show in their neighborhood.
Actor: Hamm
-Hamm's never won, Cranston has a hammerlock on the award, but again, no Breaking Bad this year. The only other possibility is Buscemi. You may recall I hit both Boardwalk/Buscemi at the Globes.
Actress: Margulies
-She was supposed to win last year, but Sedgwick slipped in and grabbed it away; I'd really strongly prefer Moss, Britton or Enos.
Supporting: Slattery, Martindale
-Actor is a full jump ball; if either Goggins (my preference) or Cumming won, that would not surprise. You'd take the field over Martindale, but not any of her competitors specifically.
Comedy: Modern Family
-I don't see a circumstance where it doesn't win; Top end 30 Rock remains all by itself qualitatively, Parks is probably the most consistently good week to week.
Actor: Carrell
-Like Hamm, Carrell's never won; like Hamm, he absolutely deserves to win. There's not another contender.
Actress: Linney
-If you wanted a crazy long odd investment, take Plimpton. My vote would be Poehler.
Supporting: Burrell/Lynch
-I did give you Stonestreet last year; this year it's Burrell who gets through. Lynch is easy here.
Reality Comp: Top Chef
-Top Chef ended Race's run last year, I'll say it continues one of its own. It would get my vote, I think, given that Survivor isn't nominated.
Variety Series: Daily Show
-A lock.
Movie: Mildred Pierce
Actor: Ramirez
Actress: Winslet
Supporting: Pearce/Wood
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