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The Weekly Tendown October 9-15 2011

Sunday, October 16, 2011

Dear Internet:

The thing most on my mind, as evidenced by last week's Tendown, is the 99% movement; yesterday it went global, with occupations in over 80 countries.

I'm not going to talk about it this week; in fact, this week is politics free, a safe zone for whatever conservative readers of my sports posts drop by.

Next week is my 99th Tendown, and also my Ladygal's birthday.  My priorities are in the right position, and I'll make next week's issue almost laborless, entirely one of pictures and graphs related to the 99% movement.

A week later - the two year anniversary of Tendown; if you were around a year ago, you may recall that Tendown 50 was links and brief content descriptions of the previous 49, and I'll do that again with Tendown 100.  You may also recall I took a week off after Tendown 50 and will do the same after 100.

But that's not today.  Today is a Politics Free Tendown 98.

1. Who's Got It Better Than Us?






Have you ever wondered, "Where does Jividen write Tendown; what is to his immediate right in his workspace?  At what was he looking when he announced "tax millionaires" as the crux of his economic policy?" (Not that I'm advocating that today, in this politics free issue of Tendown; for today, I'm not even recognizing that millionaires exist - it's divisive after all; dirty talk of our exploding wealth gap over the past three decades.  I won't have it!).

I have pennants in my office.  These are they.  One for each Super Bowl, plus extras for SB23 and 29. Memorabilia isnt in my budget anymore; I still don't have nearly as much World Series effluvia as would I ideally; so it's helpful that the last pennant was purchased in Clinton's first term.

The 49ers have largely been irrelevant for a decade.  I haven't seen a single game this year, not out of lack of interest but because there hasn't been one televised in my market.

Until today - when, even as I write this, Niners/Lions (we're down early) is on in south Florida.

4-1 gets you some chatter.  Here's a NY Times blog piece about how the roster came to be and here is the current playoff projections by Football Outsiders.

The team in the entire NFL most likely to make the postseason?

The Niners.

I took Detroit today in my weekly picks, and one may recall in my preseason forecast my saying I'd rather go 0-16 than lose in the NFL Championship.

That remains true.  But at 4-1 we're clearly not playing low ball this year.  So, time to root for good cards.

Go Niners.

2. The Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind Pill
Is here.  If you wake up one morning sliding out of John Malkovich's amygdala into a ditch just off the New Jersey Turnpike, you'll know the entire Charlie Kauffman catalog is becoming reality.

3. Meet the Mullets


The best part of the arrests this week of five Amish men in Ohio for cutting off the hair of other Amish men is that the last name of the suspects is Mullet.

That means the Mullets were arrested for Crimes Against Hair.

4. I Need You to Trust Me on This.
If you eat this:
And then you immediately brush your teeth with this

Your mouth will foam like a rabid woodchuck.  Maybe this can be a new urban legend, like when the kid Mikey from the Life cereal commercials back in the 70s died from eating too many Razzles.  "Remember the guy from Hanging with Mr. Cooper?  That dude ate a bunch of salt and vinegar chips and then brushed his teeth right after and swallowed his tongue."

5. The Worst Monday Night RAW....ever.

Somehow, WWE managed to turn an angle that was referenced on Jim Rome's radio show as possibly being real and got CM Punk an hour on Bill Simmons's podcast into an absolute pile of gloop that saw Hunter bury virtually the entire roster this week.

The visceral dislike fans have for this type of corporate indulgence (shoot firing JR, having the Punk character stand with authority against the walked out wrestlers, treating matches as if they an impediment to the product) is exactly the nerve that the original Punk promo touched.  WWE is a corporate criminal, which isn't an estimation of the booking; their classification of wrestlers as independent contractors is without even a colorable argument.  It goes without challenge because the McMahons control the wrestling marketplace and its labor force essentially has no voice or protection.  I assume its coincidence that WWE has decided to run an anti-union, anti-labor angle at the same moment that 99% movement begins to gain some traction.  But were one to write a book (or a doctoral dissertation; I totally should have gone on to get my PhD in 2004; I was shortsighted thinking it was a mistake to sell my house to spend the next few years in grad school when I had a teaching job lined up - as 8 years later, I lost my house anyway and am still at that same job, still just scratching out a living) on professional wrestling as ratifying the messages of the corporate class to its largely working class fan base - this current angle would be a good place to start.  Hey workers, WWE is saying, don't complain about workplace conditions, just do what the boss says.  Successful people don't complain, they work.  Only jobbers align together and try to force the hand of management.  Get back in your goddamn cubicle.  And the "actors" who have to present that morality play, the WWE wrestlers, have no employer provided health insurance, pay for their own travel expenses, are subject to random drug testing, and have to sign over intellectual property rights to their ring personas.  It's as if the characters at Disney theme marks (also a non union shop) had to sing a little song about how Norma Rae was a commie and Joe Hill got what he deserved.

Yes, that was politics.  I'm sorry.

I saw some four star wrestling this week.  Richards/Strong from last week's ROH TV (ROH is now owned by Sinclair Media; if you've forgotten its attempts to smear John Kerry in 2004, something that I don't think the wrestling press has taken note of since the purchase, here's a reminder). Another Richards match, he and Romero winning the tag titles this month from Devitt/Taguchi in NJ was 4 stars.  And Go's NOAH title defense over Takayama in September was 4 1/2, meaning it goes in my Match of the Year post.  I'm at 40 4 1/2 star+ matches for the year thusfar.

6. I Write the Stories
I've been doing a post a day for awhile; which is a good pace to keep up as long as I'm making picks.

I did a list of the best WWF/E title switches.
I'm down to 171 in my revision of the 200 greatest baseball players of all time.
I went 6-7 against the spread in yesterday's college football picks.
And today's NFL picks are here.

7. Flapjacks



As requested by my Ladygal - we're now calling all pancakes "flapjacks."  Adjust your lexicon accordingly.

Also, given the amount of British television we've been watching, I think we're probably going to replace the word "bacon" with "streaky bacon" but I'd assume that's a step too far for most.

8. What British Television?



Big Brother UK.  We've seen every episode of the current season.  I am uncertain how I survived without it in my life until now.  I'm Team Aaron in a near violent fashion. Seriously, the amount of my day spent thinking about Big Brother UK is unsettling.

9. Hey, Beavis and Butt-head is Back.
The NY Times did a profile of Mike Judge.

10. And Just Because I like It.
That's all for this time.  I'll be back next time.  If there is a next time...

Your pal,

Jim

2011 College Football Picks, Week 7

Friday, October 14, 2011

I'm 33-36-1.

Toledo -8 Bowling Green(loss)
Penn St -12 Purdue(loss)
Texas A&M -8.5 Baylor(win)
N Carolina -3 Miami(loss)
Rutgers -3.5 Navy(loss)
WMich -1.5 NIU(loss)
UTEP +1.5 Tulane(win)
G Tech -7 Virginia(loss)
BYU +3 Ore St.(win)
Florida -2 Auburn(loss)
K St. +3.5 TTech(win)
Stanford v. Wash St. under 65.5(win)
Oklahoma v. Kansas under 75(win)

6-7
39-43-1

The 200 Greatest Major League Baseball Players of All Time, 2012 Ed. 171-180

Thursday, October 13, 2011

The previous 10 is here.

171. Elmer Flick RF 1898-10 Phillies/Indians
        57.85
        .312/.404/.548
        OPS+ 149
        PA=6400
        MVPQ=none

172. Duke Snider CF 1947-64 Dodgers
        57.7
        .296/.380/.553
        OPS+ 140
        PA=8200
        MVPQ=none

173. King Kelly OF/C 1878-93 White Sox/Beaneaters
        57.55
        .307/.383/.500
        OPS+ 138
        PA=6500
        MVPQ=1886 

174. Bid McPhee 2B 1882-99 Reds
        57.45
        .251/.338/.388
        OPS+ 106
         PA=9400
        MVPQ= none


175. Jason Giambi 1B 1995- Athletics/Yankees 
        57.3
        .275/.402/.529
        OPS+ 142
        PA=8500
        MVPQ=2000
        Elite Season=2001 (10.4 Wins above replacement)

176. Jimmy Wynn CF 1963-77 Astros
        57.25
        .268/.385/.501
        OPS+ 128
        PA=8000
        MVPQ=none

177. Andruw Jones CF Braves 1996-
        57.15
        .257/.340/.487
        OPS+ 111
        PA=8400
        MVPQ=none

178. Amos Rusie RHP Giants 1889-01
        56.75
        ERA+129
        169-107
        IP=3800
        MVPQ=1893
       Elite Season=1894 (10.1)


179. Al Simmons LF/CF Athletics 1924-44
        56.7
        .304/.349/.534
         OPS+132
        PA=9500
         MVPQ=1929

180. Tim Hudson RHP Athletics/Braves 1999-
        56.55
        180-129
        ERA+127
        IP=2500
        MVPQ=none

In this section, we have our two best seasons yet, Giambi's 2011 and Rusie's 1893; the first two seasons to hit "Elite" status (MVP Quality is 8 wins above replacement, Elite is 10, an Inner Circle season would be 12).  Rusie's the new best pitcher so far, just slipping by Vance.  Giambi's got a couple thousand more plate appearances than Greenberg, and Hank's adjusted slugging of .616 remains the most impressive number on the board, so Greenberg stays the starting first baseman, but Giambi's Elite season puts him on the current version of the all time team.

Additionally, note Flick's 3/4/5 adjusted slashline, he joins Berkman in that membership.  Flick's career value with limited number of plate appearances is also extra impressive, and that's the data point that gets he and Kelly named to the all time team at this point in the list.

C Kelly
1B Greenberg
     1B Giambi
RF Flick
RHP Rusie
         Vance
         Saberhagen






I Pick Every NFL Game in 2011 - Week 6

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

I'm slumping.  Season record is down to 41-33-3 against the spread and 54-23 straight up.  As is the case each week, I put this up on Wednesday given my schedule, but will revisit on Friday.  If you're relying on my thoughts, come back sometime before Saturday for the final result. Edit - I'm done as of Thursday midday.  I flipped two ATS, I think I'd good for the weekend.

StL +14.5 GB (Pack wins game)(loss/win)
Jags +12.5 Steelers (Steelers win game)(win/win)
Redskins +1 Philly(loss/loss)
Detroit -5 Niners(loss/loss)
Panthers +4 Atlanta(loss/loss)
Bengals -7 Colts(win/win)
Bills +3 NYG (Giants win game)(push/win)
Texans +7.5 Ravens (Balt wins game)(loss/win)
Raiders -5.5 Browns(win/win)
Cowboys +7 NE (Patriots win game)(win/win)
Saints -4.5 Bucs(loss/loss)
Bears -3 Vikes(win/win)
Jets -7 Dolphins(win/win)

6-6-1, 47-39-4
9-4, 63-27

The 200 Greatest Major League Baseball Players of All Time, 2012 Ed. 181-190

Tuesday, October 11, 2011

200-191 is here.

181. Dazzy Vance 1915-35 RHP Dodgers
        56.4
        ERA+125
        191-125
        IP=3000
        MVPQ=1924, 1928


182. Harmon Killebrew 1B/3B/LF Twins 1954-75
         56.05
        .265/.380/.530
         OPS+143
         PA=9800
         MVPQ=none

183. Kenny Lofton CF Indians 1991-07
         55.95
        .299/.372/.420
         OPS+107
         PA=9200
         MVPQ=none

184. Lance Berkman LF/1B Astros 1999-
           55.9
           .300/.415/.550
           OPS+146
          PA=7400
          MVPQ=none

185. Stan Hack 3B Cubs 1932-47
        55.9
        .306/.402/.448
        OPS+119
        PA=8500
        MVPQ=none

186. Graig Nettles 3B Yankees 1967-88
        55.8
        .252/.335/.451
        OPS+110
        PA=10,200
        MVPQ=none


187. Joe Torre C Cardinals 1960-77
        55.7
        .307/.378/.497
        OPS+128
        PA=8800
        MVPQ=none


188. Ken Boyer 3B Cardinals 1955-69
        55.7
        .292/.358/.479
        OPS+116
        PA=8200
        MVPQ=none

189. Jim O’Rourke Giants LF 1872-04
         55.7
        .300/.380/.489
         OPS+133
         PA=9000
         MVPQ=none
         
190.   Willie Stargell Pirates LF/1B 1962-82
           55.45
          .289/.372/.583
          OPS+ 147
          PA: 9000
          MVPQ=none

Who you start with is Vance; he's the first player on the list (working backward from #200) to have two MVPQ seasons, and his '24 is the best year anyone's had thusfar.  When we hit a 10 wins above replacement season, I'm going to call that an inner circle season.  Vance didn't get there, but he's closest thusfar.  His ERA+ matches the other top arms, he obviously has the most career value (although Sabathia goes by him in 2012) but he's got the two MVPQ seasons.

We also have our first 3/4/5 translated slash.  It's Berkman.  If he had an MVPQ I'd slot him right now into the all time team.

Instead, we add Vance.  The best arm so far.

1B Greenberg
RHP Vance
RHP Saberhagen


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