Chiefs over Bucs
Chiefs -3
Mahomes under 333.5 yards
I can't claim I've thought about this game a ton beyond the basic analytics, which favor Kansas City by between 1 and 5 points. I'm nominally rooting for the Chiefs because I'm rooting against Brady but don't have overwhelming interest. I don't love the condition of the Chiefs OL, but Steve Spagnuolo against Brady in another Super Bowl is a fun wrinkle on the other side of the ball, Brady struggles against a pass rush and I'll assume Jones/Clark can get home enough to make the game uncomfortable for him. Mahomes beat my squad last year; I'll say they go back to back.