NL Wild Card Pick
Wednesday, October 1, 2014
Look, this is dumb. It's a baseball game, the worst team in the league is going to beat the best team over a third of the time - picking the winner in one playoff game is dumb; I had Oakland yesterday and that's as good an example as you can find of this being a coinflip game.
The Giants and Pirates have identical pythagorean win totals, If there's the slightest of all leans, it's Bumgarner. Giants win.
2014 AL Wild Card Pick
Tuesday, September 30, 2014
Oakland.
Look, this is dumb. It's a baseball game, the worst team in the league is going to beat the best team over a third of the time - picking the winner in one playoff game is dumb.
That said - Oakland. They've got a 15 pythagorean win advantage and the better pitcher. I'll take the A's, thanks.
Look, this is dumb. It's a baseball game, the worst team in the league is going to beat the best team over a third of the time - picking the winner in one playoff game is dumb.
That said - Oakland. They've got a 15 pythagorean win advantage and the better pitcher. I'll take the A's, thanks.
2014 MLB Awards Ballot
Monday, September 29, 2014
Here were the 5 best players, by position and then overall, in MLB in 2014. The WAR is B-Ref +Davenport
C J. Lucroy Mil 6.1
R. Martin Pit 5.9
B. Posey SFG 5.65
D. Mesoraco Cin 4.55
Y. Gomes Cle 3.75
1B J. Abreu CWS 5.85
A. Rizzo Chi 5.75
S. Pearce Bal 5.6
M. Cabrera Det 5.55
A. Gonzalez LAD 5.2
2B R. Cano Sea 7.2
J. Altuve Hou 6.75
H. Kendrick LAA 5.15
B. Dozier Min 4.6
I. Kinsler Det 4.55
SS T. Tulowitzki Det 5.35
J. Peralta StL 5.2
J. Rollins Phi 4
B. Crawford SFG 3.85
A. Ramirez CWS 3.7
3B J. Donaldson Oak 7.3
K. Seager Sea 6.65
J. Harrison Pit 5.75
A. Beltre Tex 5.6
A. Rendon Was 5.5
LF M. Brantley Cle 6.55
A. Gordon KV 5.15
S. Smith SD 4.05
M. Holliday StL 3.9
JD Martinez Det 3.9
CF M. Trout LAA 7.5 - AL MVP
A. McCutchen Pit 6.3
C. Gomez Mil 5.05
L. Cain KC 4.4
A. Eaton CWS 4.05
RF G. Stanton Mia 7
J. Heyward Atl 6.1
J. Bautista Tor 7.25
Y. Puig LAD 5.4
J. Werth Was 4.5
DH V. Martinez Det 5.9
N. Cruz Bal 4.7
D. Ortiz Bos 3.4
P C. Kershaw LAD 8.65 - NL MVP, NL Cy
C. Kluber Cle 7.85 - AL Cy
A. Wainwright StL 7.2
J. Cueto Cin 6.9
C. Hamels Ph 6.6
F. Hernandez Sea 6.3
C. Sale CWS 6.2
M. Scherzer Det 6.05
J. Arrieta Chi 5.5
Z. Greinke LAD 5.4
C J. Lucroy Mil 6.1
R. Martin Pit 5.9
B. Posey SFG 5.65
D. Mesoraco Cin 4.55
Y. Gomes Cle 3.75
1B J. Abreu CWS 5.85
A. Rizzo Chi 5.75
S. Pearce Bal 5.6
M. Cabrera Det 5.55
A. Gonzalez LAD 5.2
2B R. Cano Sea 7.2
J. Altuve Hou 6.75
H. Kendrick LAA 5.15
B. Dozier Min 4.6
I. Kinsler Det 4.55
SS T. Tulowitzki Det 5.35
J. Peralta StL 5.2
J. Rollins Phi 4
B. Crawford SFG 3.85
A. Ramirez CWS 3.7
3B J. Donaldson Oak 7.3
K. Seager Sea 6.65
J. Harrison Pit 5.75
A. Beltre Tex 5.6
A. Rendon Was 5.5
LF M. Brantley Cle 6.55
A. Gordon KV 5.15
S. Smith SD 4.05
M. Holliday StL 3.9
JD Martinez Det 3.9
CF M. Trout LAA 7.5 - AL MVP
A. McCutchen Pit 6.3
C. Gomez Mil 5.05
L. Cain KC 4.4
A. Eaton CWS 4.05
RF G. Stanton Mia 7
J. Heyward Atl 6.1
J. Bautista Tor 7.25
Y. Puig LAD 5.4
J. Werth Was 4.5
DH V. Martinez Det 5.9
N. Cruz Bal 4.7
D. Ortiz Bos 3.4
P C. Kershaw LAD 8.65 - NL MVP, NL Cy
C. Kluber Cle 7.85 - AL Cy
A. Wainwright StL 7.2
J. Cueto Cin 6.9
C. Hamels Ph 6.6
F. Hernandez Sea 6.3
C. Sale CWS 6.2
M. Scherzer Det 6.05
J. Arrieta Chi 5.5
Z. Greinke LAD 5.4
Wrapping it Up - the 2014 San Francisco Giants
You can find 2013 here.
The 2014 Giants seem relatively unremarkable with 87 pythagorean wins, However, out of 56 seasons, this is the first time they've hit that specific number. This is going to make the 2014 team the 21st best regular season SFG team ever. Each year, I break down the individual player performance by WAR (B-Ref+Davenport) to put the season in perspective. The number next to each player represents his WAR.
C Buster Posey 5.65 - Posey's second best season, meaning its the second best SFG catching season ever.
1B Brandon Belt 1.4 - Between McCovey's 1960 and '77 on the all time SFG first base list. Belt gives up almost 3 and a half wins from the previous year.
2B Joe Panik 1.8 - A tick ahead of Robby Thompson's '87 season. A half win less than Scutaro from the previous year.
SS Brandon Crawford 3.85 - the 5th best SFG shortstop season ever, behind Aurilia '01 and a bunch of Speiers. A 2 win gain from '13.
3B Pablo Sandoval 4.05 - if this is it for Pablo it's his third best season, between two from should be in the Hall of Fame Darrell Evans. Almost a two win pickup.
LF Mike Morse 2.05 - between Kuenn's '62 and Herndon's '81, slight uptick from Blanco's production in '13.
LF Gregor Blanco 1.45
CF Angel Pagan 1.5 - between '02 Shinjo and '72 Maddox. Almost a half win pickup from '13.
RF Hunter Pence 3.55 - between Moises in '05 and Burks a decade earlier. Gives back over two wins from the year before.
C Andrew Susac 1.0 - in less than 100 PA.
SP Madison Bumgarner 5.0 - tied with '12 Cain and '01 Ortiz. Almost half a win better than any pitcher in '13. The Giants haven't had a better season from a pitcher in five years.
Jake Peavy 1.95
Tim Hudson 1.05
Tim Lincecum -1.1 - three straight sub replacement seasons.
RP Santiago Casilla 2.45 -Between Romo's '12 and Stu Miller from '59. A half win gain from Romo's '13.
Jean Machi 1.65
Jeremy Affeldt 1.5
The 2014 Giants seem relatively unremarkable with 87 pythagorean wins, However, out of 56 seasons, this is the first time they've hit that specific number. This is going to make the 2014 team the 21st best regular season SFG team ever. Each year, I break down the individual player performance by WAR (B-Ref+Davenport) to put the season in perspective. The number next to each player represents his WAR.
C Buster Posey 5.65 - Posey's second best season, meaning its the second best SFG catching season ever.
1B Brandon Belt 1.4 - Between McCovey's 1960 and '77 on the all time SFG first base list. Belt gives up almost 3 and a half wins from the previous year.
2B Joe Panik 1.8 - A tick ahead of Robby Thompson's '87 season. A half win less than Scutaro from the previous year.
SS Brandon Crawford 3.85 - the 5th best SFG shortstop season ever, behind Aurilia '01 and a bunch of Speiers. A 2 win gain from '13.
3B Pablo Sandoval 4.05 - if this is it for Pablo it's his third best season, between two from should be in the Hall of Fame Darrell Evans. Almost a two win pickup.
LF Mike Morse 2.05 - between Kuenn's '62 and Herndon's '81, slight uptick from Blanco's production in '13.
LF Gregor Blanco 1.45
CF Angel Pagan 1.5 - between '02 Shinjo and '72 Maddox. Almost a half win pickup from '13.
RF Hunter Pence 3.55 - between Moises in '05 and Burks a decade earlier. Gives back over two wins from the year before.
C Andrew Susac 1.0 - in less than 100 PA.
SP Madison Bumgarner 5.0 - tied with '12 Cain and '01 Ortiz. Almost half a win better than any pitcher in '13. The Giants haven't had a better season from a pitcher in five years.
Jake Peavy 1.95
Tim Hudson 1.05
Tim Lincecum -1.1 - three straight sub replacement seasons.
RP Santiago Casilla 2.45 -Between Romo's '12 and Stu Miller from '59. A half win gain from Romo's '13.
Jean Machi 1.65
Jeremy Affeldt 1.5
September, 2014 Athlete of the Month
Sunday, September 28, 2014
August is here.
Serena Williams. Runners-up: Floyd Mayweather, Marcus Mariota, Andrew Luck
9 months down - 3 to go in the race for the 2014 Athlete of the Year.
Serena Williams. Runners-up: Floyd Mayweather, Marcus Mariota, Andrew Luck
9 months down - 3 to go in the race for the 2014 Athlete of the Year.
January - Kevin Durant
February - Malcolm Smith
March - Breanna Stewart
April- Meb Keflezigh
May - Troy Tulowitzki
June - Lionel Messi
July - Novak Djokovic
August - Rory McIlroy
September - Serena Williams
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