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The 100 Best Players in the NBA, 2012-2013 by NBA WAR

Wednesday, April 17, 2013

Through a combination of Hollinger's Estimated Wins Added +Win Shares - here, yes, here, is your definitive list of the 100 Best Players in the NBA for the 2012-13 season.




1.        L. James 24.75 (All NBA Team 1-F
2.       K. Durant 23.25 (All NBA Team 1-F)
3.       C. Paul 15.75 (All NBA Team 1-G)
4.       J. Harden 15.75 (All NBA Team 1-G)
5.       R. Westbrook 15.25 (All NBA Team 2-G)
6.       K. Bryant 15 (All NBA Team 2-G)
7.       C. Anthony 13.75 (All NBA Team 2-F)
8.       S. Curry 13.25 (All NBA Team 3-G)
9.       D. Wade 12.75 (All NBA Team 3-G)
10.   B. Griffin 12.75 (All NBA Team 2-F)
11.   B. Lopez 12.25 (All NBA Team 1-C)
12.   M. Gasol 12 (All NBA Team 2-C)
13.   D Williams 12 (All NBA Team 4-G)
14.   T. Parker 11.25 (All NBA Team 4-G)
15.   A. Horford 11 (All NBA Team 3-C)
16.   T. Duncan 10.75 (All NBA Team 3-F)
17.   A. Jefferson 10.25 (All NBA Team 4-C)
18.   C. Bosh 10.25 (All NBA Team 3-F)
19.   D. Howard 10
20.   D. Lee 10 (All NBA Team 4-F)
21.   M. Conley 10
22.   S. Ibaka 9.75
23.   D. West 9.75 (All NBA Team 4-F)
24.   L. Aldridge 9.5
25.   T. Chandler 9.25
26.   P. George 9.25
27.   P. Pierce 9.25
28.   G. Monroe 9
29.   J. Noah 8.75
30.   P. Millsap 8.75
31.   JJ Hickson 8.75
32.   T. Young 8.75
33.   G Hill 8.75
34.   K. Faried 8.5
35.   T. Splitter 8.25
36.   JR Smith 8.25
37.   K. Walker 8
38.   K. Irving 8
39.   N. Pekovic 8
40.   J. Calderon 8
41.   Z. Randolph 7.75
42.   A. Davis 7.75
43.   T. Lawson 7.75
44.   R. Anderson 7.5
45.   K. Garnett 7.25
46.   D. Lillard 7.25
47.   D. Gallinari 7.25
48.   G. Dragic 7.25
49.   D. Cousins 7.25
50.   E. Ilyasova 7.25
51.   N.Vukevic 7.25
52.   R. Lopez 7.25
53.   J. Smith 7
54.   R. Hibbert 7
55.   L. Sanders 7
56.   A.Johnson 6.75
57.   C. Parsons 6.75
58.   B.Jennings 6.75
59.   A.Blatche 6.75
60.   J. Teague 6.75
61.   V. Carter 6.75
62.   N. Batum 6.5
63.   L. Deng 6.5
64.   A. Kirilenko 6.5
65.   K. Martin 6.5
66.   C. Boozer 6.25
67.   J. Wall 6.25
68.   M. Ellis 6.25
69.   J. McGee 6.25
70.   K. Koufos 6.25
71.   D. Jordan 6.25
72.   S. Marion 6.25
73.   N. Robinson 6.25
74.   D. Nowitzki 6
75.   A. Iguodala 6
76.   G. Hayward 6
77.   K. Leonard 6
78.   I. Thomas 6
79.   T. Evans 6
80.   K. Lowry 6
81.   C. Landry 6
82.   J. Crawford 6
83.   J. Butler 6
84.   J. Holliday 5.75
85.   T. Thompson 5.75
86.   G. Vasquez 5.75
87.   D. Collison 5.75
88.   M. Barnes 5.75
89.   A.Drummond 5.5
90.   O. Asik 5.5
91.   J. Lin 5.5
92.   J. Jack 5.5
93.   M. Ginobli 5.25
94.   A. Miller 5.25
95.   K. Korver 5.25
96.   S. Hawes 5.25
97.   B. Wright 5.25
98.   E. Okafor 5
99.   D. Green 5
100.                        J. Johnson 5 

The Occasional Tendown April 14 2013

Sunday, April 14, 2013

Dear Internet...




You know who didn't believe in any of that nonsense?  Roger Ebert.

That's the soft version of that sentence.

You know who understood all of that was nonsense?  Roger Ebert.

That more accurately reflects the evidence.

My facebook feed got hit with the "Siskel and Ebert are in heaven reviewing the new Vince Vaughn movie" posts pretty hard.  I had a hard time looking at them, not just because it was in disagreement with Ebert's understanding of existence, a Christian appropriation of him in death that it could not have accomplished in life (sort of like Mormons baptizing dead Jews), but because I was genuinely embarrassed for the adults expressing this thought.  Roger Ebert isn't really dead - he's on a farm upstate!

I hate thinking about death; hate that the reality of my existence and of the people I love is that it ends, no different than a pig or a chicken.  If there were an escape hatch that I could take to avoid that truth, I'd take it.  I don't know how eager I'd be to bow down to my master and admit I'm nothing and all of those other pretty nakedly obvious methods of social control that facilitate the domination of the many by the few - but if the tradeoff was a bottomless bucket of eternal popcorn, you know, that's a hard deal to turn down.

But its nonsense.  Ebert's dead.  Siskel's dead.  I will be too one day.  Sucks.

Tendown 154 is here. This is Tendown 155.


1. Moyers



The United States collects less in taxes as a share of its economy than all but two other industrialized countries. Only Chile and Mexico collect less. Chile and Mexico. Right now a powerful group of CEO's, multi-millionaires and billionaires are calling on Congress to fix the debt. And their enablers in both parties are glad to oblige. Okay. But why not fix the debt by raising more taxes from those who can afford to pay? Close the loopholes. Shut down the tax havens. Cancel the Mitt Romney Clause Congress enacted, allowing big winners to pay a tax rate far less than their chauffeurs, nannies, and gardeners.
Instead, as we speak, our political class in Washington is attempting to fix the debt by sequestration – Washington doublespeak for bleeding services for veterans and the elderly, the sick and poor, for kids in Head Start.
Marching in lockstep beneath a banner that now stands for “Guardians of Privilege” -- GOP -- Republicans refuse to raise revenues, while Democrats have a president whose new budget contains gimmicks that could lead to cuts in Social Security. Social Security! The one universal safety net -- and a modest one at that – and yet the main source of purchasing power for millions of aging Americans.

2. Economic Inequality Contributing to Gap in Life Expectancy















Remember that the next time you hear about raising the retirement age.

3. We're a Plutocracy.
Rule by the Rich.

The United States today qualifies as a plutocracy – on a number of grounds.  Let’s look at some striking bits of evidence. Gross income redistribution upwards in the hierarchy has been a feature of American society for the past decades. The familiar statistics tell us that nearly 80% of the national wealth generated since 1973 has gone to the upper 2%, 65% to the upper 1 per cent. Estimates as to the rise in real income for salaried workers over the past 40 years range from 20% to 28 %. In that period, real GDP has risen by 110% – it has more than doubled.  To put it somewhat differently, according to the Congressional Budget Office,  the top earning 1 percent of households gained about 8X more than those in the 60 percentile after federal taxes and income transfers over a period between 1979 and 2007; 10X those in lower percentiles.  In short, the overwhelming fraction of all the wealth created over two generations has gone to those at the very top of the income pyramid.  That pattern has been markedly accelerated since the financial crisis hit in 2008. Between 2000 and 1012, the real net worth of 90% of Americans has declined by 25%.

4. CEO Pay

5. Don't Listen to Meryl Streep - Thatcher Was Awful
Trained the Khmer Rouge.  Called Mandela a terrorist.

Margaret Thatcher was a zealot, a friend to the worst mass murderers of the 1980s, a force for antisocial cruelty, and her violent means of ending the great British experiment in social democracy made the country a more brutal, less equal county. One of the most telling, and disturbing, of Thatcher’s catchphrases was “there is no alternative,” which was always invoked specifically to close off the possibility of considering the many extant alternatives to her top-down class warfare. At this point, the alternatives that might’ve produced a more equitable future are indeed long since gone, and the future — for England’s indebted, jobless youth and people the world over ground down by her philosophical comrades — looks about as grim as those horrid 1970s must’ve looked to the people who originally voted Thatcher into office. The world is better off without her, and it would’ve been much better off had she never existed in the first place.

6. Every Drop of Juice.
Your company is squeezing you for all you have.



The relentless drive for efficiency at U.S. companies has created a new harshness in the workplace. In their zeal to make sure that not a minute of time is wasted, companies are imposing rigorous performance quotas, forcing many people to put in extra hours, paid or not. Video cameras and software keep tabs on worker performance, tracking their computer keystrokes and the time spent on each customer service call.
Employers once wanted long-term relationships with their workers. At many companies, that's no longer the case. Businesses are asking employees to work harder without providing the kinds of rewards, financial and psychological, that were once routine. Employers figure that if some people quit, there are plenty of others looking for jobs.
“Wages are stagnant, jobs are less secure, work is more intense — it's a much tougher world,” said Paul Osterman, co-director of the MIT Sloan Institute for Work and Employment Research. “Employers have become much more aggressive about restructuring work in ways that push for higher levels of productivity.”


7. How Much Did Halliburton Make From the Iraq War?
Try 40 Billion Dollars.

8. The Best News From the First Two Weeks of the Baseball Season


Well, the best news is the Giants are in first place and the Dodgers are going to miss their second best pitcher for the next two months.

But the second best news comes from the broadcast booth.

And the best piece of schadenfreude comes courtesy of anti-PED moralist and libertarian Curt Schilling, who probably should go to jail.

9. I Watch 4 Star Wrestling Matches
8 of them over the past two weeks.

Tanahashi v. Okada 4 1/4 NJPW
Devitt v. Shelley 4 1/4 NJPW
Nakamura v. Smith 4 NJPW
Lethal v. Elgin 4 ROH
Lesnar v. HHH 4 WWE
Undertaker v. Punk 4 WWE
American Wolves v. Fish/O'Reilly 4 ROH
Bret Hart v. Steve Austin, Sept 1996 WWF

And here's Grantland discussing John Cena's "go away" heat.

10. Ebert's Goodbye.
Thanks, Roger.


That's all for this time.  I'll be back next time, if there is a next time...

Your pal,

Jim



Wrestlemania 29 Preview

Wednesday, April 3, 2013





Sunday is Wrestlemania 29.

The first major sporting event I can specifically recall watching in real time is the ’77 World Series; I remember Reggie Jackson’s three homer game with more specificity than I do Albert Pujols matching him in 2011.

I had just turned 7. 

The year before the Reds won their second straight World Series; when I think about those late 70s Yankee teams I feel them as part of my life– the way I process thoughts about the ’77 World Series is very different than everything that came before.  Those Yankee teams were part of my life; the Big Red Machine might as well be the Gas House Gang to me.  

They’re pages in history books.

Popular sports bloggers now are younger than I am; there’s a heavily trafficked Giants blog whose author is too young to remember Will Clark.  I haven’t entirely reconciled that yet – probably in the same way someone of a generation previous to mine who read something I wrote about baseball fifteen years ago wouldn’t be inclined to give me the benefit of the doubt about Willie Mays.

I don’t remember any World Series before ’77 or Super Bowl prior to XII.

But Wrestlemania?  I was 14 in the spring of 1985, a wrestling fan for 2-3 years at that point.  I saw Rocky III in the movie theater and Hogan and Mr. T in their SNL sketch with Fernando as it was airing.

Not Fandango.  Fernando.  These kids today.

I’ve seen them all.  Every minute of every match.  Sunday we do it again.     

*WWE Title Match: The Rock © vs. John Cena
-A year ago, the build for the first version of this match was predicated on an intergenerational fight.  Rock, representing the “Attitude Era” the much lamented golden age of wrestling profitability criticized Cena (and, by extension, the ethos of modern WWE) as being a children’s product.  The Rock’s a weird vehicle for that as a broader perspective might see both as quarter pounders with different wrappers – the shift from Styrofoam to cardboard doesn’t really change a flavor designed to be palatable to the most mouths possible.  I still go to McDonalds sometimes; it’s a super familiar taste but 
I don’t confuse it with a 4 star sandwich.

Rock’s got the strap, which will surprise fans who only tune in once a year and wonder why the guy in those Paul Walker movies is on USA leading into a dancing segment by the Funkasaurus.  He ended CM Punk’s run, the longest since the Hulk Hogan title reign during which that first ever Wrestlemania  took place, at the Rumble (Cena won the actual Rumble to get the shot) and has presumably been toting this belt to all of his B list functions subsequent (I’m picturing Rock at In and Out with Dax Sheppard and Marlee Matlin; the newly designed title belt over his shoulder as they split some animal fries off the secret menu).

The storyline is that Cena lost a match he could not afford to lose at WM28 and it has ruined his life.  That might be more impactful had they played that at any point, in the way TNA is doing with AJ Styles.  Instead, Cena walked out of losing to the Rock and right into going over the returning Brock Lesnar at the very next PPV and spent the year being the same John Cena we’ve seen for years, unchanged by wins, losses, time, space.  He’s a cartoon.  Colorful, flat, voiced by Hank Azaria. 

He wins here, because he has to, in a match the will be just fine and too long and not worth watching a second time.
I think there’s a possible heel beatdown postmatch, either by Lesnar, taking out his frustrations over losing to HHH – or, more interestingly, by Lesnar and Punk together – finally joining forces under Paul Heyman to become a mega heel duo.   

24 minutes.  3 1/2 stars.  Comparable to last year's; about as good as two limited workers can do in a long singles match.  No fun postmatch shenanigans.  

*World Title Match: Alberto Del Rio © vs. Jack Swagger
-Del Rio has held the secondary world title belt since the beginning of the year, turning babyface in such a transparent way to gain Hispanic interest you’d expect that Rance Priebus has joined the creative team.  He’s been targeted directly by a newly repackaged Jack Swagger, now an anti-immigrant zealot with a particularly effective mouthpiece, Zeb Colter (Dutch Mantel).  Swagger may not come out of Mania with the belt, but he’s already polling really well in his congressional primary.  I look forward to reading his position papers on climate change (Like evolution and raising taxes on millionaires – another secular scientist hoax) and gun control (If Jesus wanted to limit  how many assault weapons I could own why did He give me two hands?).

Swagger won the Elimination Chamber match in February to get the shot and has taken out Del Rio and his walkaround guy Ricardo multiple times.  They’re both competent midcard workers; given them 14 minutes and they can give you a 3 ½ star match.  I’m going to say Del Rio keeps, but is then laid out by Swagger allowing for Dolph Ziggler to cash in the briefcase and win the strap. 

12:30. 3 1/4 stars.  Liked it fine and had they given it two more minutes, maybe I like it another quarter star.  They did the Ziggler angle the following night on RAW.  

 * Brock Lesnar vs. HHH
-Imagine if you will, from a business perspective, the following counterfactual – Brock doesn’t put Cena over immediately upon returning to wrestling; instead, he takes that white hot reaction he received a year ago when he emerged, a conquering hero in the eyes of a wrestling public that viewed him as a legitimate, UFC approved, wrecking machine – and runs over everyone they put against him all year long until facing the Undertaker at Wrestlemania.  An unbeatable, maybe uncontrollable, legitimate force against the Streak.  Look, my wrestling preferences are not aligned with the business needs of WWE; I am willing to accept that the Wrestlemania I’d construct with this roster (Generico and Pac would get 22 minutes) is probably not the one best calculated to sell merchandise.  But nothing, from the time Lesnar walked from behind the curtain the night after last year’s Mania, could have seemed more obvious, from solely a business perspective, than Unstoppable force v. Immovable object, and they absolutely could have had that match and chose to toss it away.

Instead they have this.  Brock beat Hunter at Summer Slam, Brock broke Hunter’s arm (and Shawn’s, for good measure) and then F-5’d the Old Man.  Hunter busted up Brock hard way in retaliation and then was forced to put his career on the line to get this match. 

They’ve added Shawn for Hunter’s corner and made this a No Holds Barred stip, ensuring this will be a good match; I’d guess no worse than second best on the show.   Theoretically it’s possible that Hunter might lose (perhaps with Shawn throwing in the towel in a way that could lead to a year long build to a Hunter/Shawn match at WM30; maybe if they are both violating their retirement stip for one match they can get away with it – maybe DX goes into the Hall of Fame the night before) but I don’t know that Hunter has it in him to lose again to Lesnar.

22:30. 4 stars.  I am entirely alone in this view of the match; I think because I am totally disinterested in crowd reaction - your enjoyment of a match in no way impacts my evaluation of it.  The crowd was dead so the match was perceived as dead.  I think that's right.  Or I'm just wrong.  I liked it more than either of the Undertaker/HHH matches. I liked it more than this year's Undertaker match. Hunter wins.  

* CM Punk vs. Undertaker
What story were they planning to tell before Paul Bearer died?
In each of the previews I’ve written in this space, I’ve discussed Punk’s title run; encouraging as far back as August that it be centered around length.  Punk had the longest WWF/E title run in a quarter century; it’s the first line in his wrestling obituary.  So here he is, just two months after the end of that historic run in a match against what is probably the most focused upon streak in the history of wrestling – the Undertaker’s unbeaten record.

And instead of that story – we’re throwing around an urn.

Among the merits to the last four Undertaker matches was the lack of goofy.  The Undertaker is no longer undead, he’s a veteran athlete who, through guile and fortitude, can rise to the occasion one day a year and win his match regardless of circumstance.  He’s extinguished Michaels and Hunter in “last of a dying breed” matches – where the implicit (and last year, explicit) premise has been the last connection to the glory days of the promotion is on display, maybe for the last time. 

You know that when Hunter stood in the ring in the build to 28 and told the Undertaker that there weren’t any guys in the dressing room like the two of them anymore – that Punk would have been the most pissed off, the most likely to tell those old men to get the hell out of his ring. 

  Instead of that – instead of running on that kind of aggrieved, believable, “you Attitude Era assholes need to go away – and with my 400+ days as WWE Champ, I’m the guy to make it happen” fuel, they gave Punk Paul Bearer’s urn.  And that just makes the Undertaker so doggone mad.

There’s some mileage to be gained from an full attack on the Attitude Era – Punk could have told the Undertaker that not only is he better than the Undertaker, and Michaels, and Austin, and Rock – but there are a half dozen guys buried throughout the roster who are better than they are now or ever were and its time the WWE stopped living in its past.  Much like Punk’s original shoot promo, the way to generate some heat into this program would be to tap an existing vein.  I can believe Punk’s pissed off that the Undertaker is still hanging onto his Wrestlemania spot; I can’t believe that Punk is tormenting him about William Moody’s death.

The problem with using “real life tragedy” in a wrestling angle isn’t that it’s distasteful or disrespectful – it’s that it isn’t believable; it makes the program a joke.  No one above the age of 12 could possibly think that Punk could really be desecrating Paul Bearer’s remains, and no one under that age has any idea who Paul Bearer was. 

It should have been a one week reference; cut the heat promo on the dead manager, inject some personal animosity into the broader program – but what could have had some real energy just became a childish angle that makes this the most disappointing program of the Wrestlemania build.

It’s probably still the best match of the night, no worse than second behind HHH/Brock.

22 min.  4 stars.  Exactly the match, the result, the quality I expected.  

*Tag Team Title Match: Team Hell No © vs. Ziggler and Langston
Kane and Daniel Bryan have been champs since September.  It’s almost 7 months.  That’s the longest tag run in three years. 

Has this been a good year for Bryan Danielson?  A year ago, the most sustained show long crowd reaction the day after The Rock met John Cena was not for either of those guys, but instead for Danielson, who wasn’t even booked. Daniel Bryan chants filled arenas for months – and while you can’t call a 7 month tag title run a burial, he clearly isn’t as over as was he at this point last year.  He became a crutch for creative; Danielson could do the comedy vignettes that would fill the programming, and the lack of good matches and the disinclination to frame him for the WWE audience as someone who you can count on when you want to see a good wrestling match (which was how they branded Mr. Perfect, for example) makes this sort of a lost year.  Hopefully, what it’s done is eliminate the down side risk (good luck with your future endeavors) as his non-wrestling utility is probably accepted by management.  I don’t know if he’s any closer to a 25 minute Wrestlemania match today than he’s been throughout his WWF tenure.  Presumably, they recognize they can’t rely on Rock/Hunter/Undertaker for too many high profile matches going forward and would at some point utilize the star power of that generation to help create the next wave of wrestlers who will make the company money in future Wrestlemanias. 

 I’m tired of being wrong about the champs dropping this belt and Danielson breaking free of this tag team.  I predict it in every event.

I’m picking it here too.  Ziggler and Langston win the belts.
There aren't any more 3 star matches from the show.  This went 6:30 and was fine given the time allotted. Champs kept.  It never ends.     

* Chris Jericho vs. Fandango
For whatever reason, Vince became convinced that “evil ballroom dancer” was the right way to counterprogram RAW against Dancing With the Stars, and given his past appearance on that program (although I don’t know that it’s been referenced as part of this build) Jericho has gotten the call to help get Fandango over. 

The “evil” element of the Fandango gimmick is working pretty well; he’s viciously attacked Jericho multiple times and looked believable in doing it.  The ballroom dancer part of the gimmick has shorter legs; like Doink – it probably can’t work as a babyface.  I’d expect this to be too short to matter much with the dancer going over (Maksim Chmerkovskiy left Dancing with the Stars this season, his run in to aid Fandango would be the weirdest Mania celebrity cameo since Herb, the guy who never ate a Whopper, teamed with GenichiroTenryu. 

9 minutes, just okay.  Fandango beats him.  

* Ryback vs. Mark Henry
This is not an arm wrestling match or a bodyslam challenge, but, for those of you unfamiliar with these men, it might as well be.  They will stand in the middle of the ring and slowly hit each other with clubbering fists until Ryback bodyslams Henry and gets the win. 

8 minutes of bearhugs.  Henry went over and Ryback turned on RAW.

* Randy Orton, Big Show and Sheamus vs. The Shield (Rollins, Reigns and Ambrose)
If you’re like me you’re watching the inaugural season of Big Brother Canada…

…And you watch the US and UK versions as well – years ago, I was starting to go out with a woman and my brother said “tell her you own 5 wresting DVDs.  Five.  You keep that shit to yourself”.  My international interest in the Big Brother franchise isn’t that – but it can see that from there. 

So, if you’re watching Big Brother Canada you know that the main alliance in the house has nicknamed itself The Shield and uses the X armsign upon casting votes to evict.  I’m rooting like hell for them. 

I’m also rooting for their WWE namesake – The Shield hasn’t gotten nearly enough ringtime considering the quality of two of its members; WWE doesn’t have to become the workrate based promotion that I’d prefer to recognize that they can use match quality to help get guys over.  There’s no reason to beat them here against an ad hoc babyface team.  Randy Orton looks as bored as a 14 year old during a mitosis lecture.  If he doesn’t turn here he’s never going to pass Biology.

10:30, this was just fine, Orton was selfish and it pissed the Show off.  

* Brodus Clay, Tensai, Cameron and Naomi vs. Cody Rhodes, Damien Sandow, Nikki and Brie Bella
There will be dancing. 

This got bumped.  There was no dancing.  

That’s the show – it’s perfectly fine.  The Undertaker/Punk and Hunter/Brock matches certainly have **** potential; the possibility of Ziggler cashing in his briefcase and Daniel Bryan wrestling for more than 18 seconds are also worth some anticipation.  The pre-show has a Barrett/Miz (and maybe a Cesaro?) match; it’s five hours of sports entertainment for your wrestling dollar, and is bound to be a happening.  

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