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The Weekly Tendown December 11-17 2011 (The Worst Christmas Song Ever)

Sunday, December 18, 2011

Dear Internet:

Unlike the previous two Sundays, I'm actually at home.

Where have I been the past two weekends?


That's the grocery store in Gadsden, Alabama.  If you look closer you'll see a special message on the glass.


For the past two weekends I interviewed 3 separate times at two separate colleges in different parts of Alabama, looking for a position for January.  The total travel expense was about fifteen hundred bucks, maybe a tick more.  Credit card bucks, unfortunately.

I didn't get either job; I don't have time to emotionally process it as a blow to my self concept, nor determine the extent to which I should re-evaluate how I practice my craft, as I'm a couple of weeks away from being without a full time job for the first time in 8 years.

I've been downsized (or "rightsized" to use the language of my employer) my full time position is becoming an adjunct position next term.  I'm not alone, not along in the broader profession of college professor, less alone within the field of for-profit education, and right alongside virtually all of my colleagues who remain employed at my particular institution.  I am the primary winner of the bread in my household and the provider of much needed and almost impossible to procure elsewhere health insurance.  The most pressure I have ever felt in my life - more than the bar exam, more than the game show - was walking into an hour long second interview with the president of a community college in Alabama last weekend to pitch her on why I should join her faculty.

I failed.  That's not done to curry reader sympathy.  That's just true.  I walked into that room fully understanding I could not leave, in a Glengarry Glen Ross type of way, without convincing those people they needed to have me on the team.  I swung hard. I failed.

Yes, Alabama would be a curious fit for me, yes.  But beneath me there is no net; there are financial numbers for which I currently do not have answers.

I haven't signed contracts yet, but I've gotten commitments for a total of 8 adjunct courses from 4 different schools, both in classrooms and online, for next term.  I think that's enough to pay the bills; I'm not sure it will cover my Cobra payment, which will begin in February.  I've got applications in to pick up a couple of additional courses; I've sent out multiple letters of inquiry for high school positions; I'm looking for college openings for fall.  I've been standing in front of students, real or virtual, for nearly 15 years.  The balance of evidence would suggest I'm more than good at it. For better or worse, I'm not sure I could be anyone else anymore.

I do not feel great about being me today.  My role in my household is really small; there's not much I bring to our partnership other than an ability to get health insurance.  It is discouraging on the shortside and defeating on the long.  I tend to run a little anxious in the best of times; watch the movie of my life and at almost any particular moment you could identify me as the most person in the room who appeared to be under the most stress.  Over the past couple of years, given the events that have unfolded, there has been more than one occasion where it seemed that all of the blood in my body was boiling.

One assumes, provided nothing calamitous happens, that something will break in my favor. That assumption will not feed my landlord's mortgage however.  Tick, tick, tick.

You'll get links today.

It's Tendown 106.  105 is here.

1. Courtesy of Gawker:


My inclination from the Top Left bracket is to go with "Two Front Teeth"; if it's able to knock off the top seed "Mommy Kissing Santa Claus" I think it cruises to the final four.  In the bottom half of that side of the bracket,  the Band Aid song has been a lifelong irritant, but the beauty of Tendown is I get exposure to awful of which I was otherwise unaware.

Ladies and Gentlemen - a song about buying one's dying mother shoes for Christmas. The Christmas Shoes.

It heads to the Final Four.  On the other side is the juggernaut that is "Grandma Got Run Over"; it goes over the date-rapey top seed "Cold Outside" in the second round (if you've yet to notice that the Jezebel folks don't know how to set up brackets, the 1 v 2 second round matchups are a clue) and makes the Final Four.

I don't know that anything in the final region is a good contender; I'll say "Hark the Herald" is the cinderella of the tourney.

As bad as "Two Front Teeth" is I can't resist The Christmas Shoes, it just brings the schlock so hard that it pulls away down the stretch.  "Grandma Got Run Over" gets to rest its starters in the 4th quarter as it makes the final game.

And then the final.  As bad as "Grandma got Run Over" is - and its bad, it's a bad novelty song.  Which raises the musical question - are there any good novelty songs?  And the answer is not really; I don't know how much worse "Grandma Got Run Over" is than "Like A Surgeon" - and sure, there is no holiday devoted to Weird Al, you aren't ever in a mall stuck listening to "Fat" - but when you think of all the reasons you hate Christmas, it being insufficiently funny is pretty low on the list.

On the other hand:

Sir, I want to buy these shoes for my Mama, please
It's Christmas Eve and these shoes are just her size
Could you hurry, sir, Daddy says there's not much time
You see she's been sick for quite a while
And I know these shoes would make her smile
And I want her to look beautiful if Mama meets Jesus tonight

Your winner: The Christmas Shoes.

2. So, Who's Worse?
Notre Dame's Rudy Used Scrappy, Undersized Sports Drink Company To Scam $11 Million Out Of Investors

After almost a decade, the federal government finally got Barry Bonds this week.  30 days home confinement.  Our long national nightmare is over.

So, who is worse - Bonds, or scrappy, plucky, scam artist Rudy.

3. Hey, Right Wing - Welcome!
Look at conservatives hopping aboard the 14th amendment.

4. They Don't Believe in Small Government
So, in Virginia, adoption agencies can discriminate based on sexual orientation, the 14th Amendment notwithstanding.

That doesn't surprise, Florida's prohibition against gays from adopting was only recently overturned.

But there's another, sneaky provision in this language by the Virginia Board of Social Services; prospective parents in Virginia can be turned away because of "political beliefs."

Here's my guess - no one in Virginia will ever be denied the right to adopt because they are too politically conservative.

5. Your 2012 49ers Starting Quarterback


In my preseason picks post, I suggested that the Colts were a good possibility to end the season with the top draft pick, and therefore with Andrew Luck.

Which will raise the question of the destination of one of the five greatest quarterbacks of all time, Peyton Manning.

Bill Barnwell, on the short list for sharpest football writers in the country, says the result that makes the most sense is Manning being dealt to the San Francisco 49ers.

Yes, please.

6. Debtor's Prison
If you get a notice to appear in court, even if its for a debt that you are not challenging, appear.

Or they might lock you up.

Sean Matthews, a homeless New Orleans construction worker, was incarcerated for five months for $498 of legal debt, while his jail time cost the city six times that much. 


7. Toddlers and Tiaras


Fun criticism of a child by a Toddlers and Tiaras parent this week, "get your foot off your other foot."

Like an adult beauty pageant, as the kids take the stage, the announcer will tell us something about them "Tawni likes Spongebob and her favorite food is disco fries" for example.

If my next job is as child pageant host, I'm going to work that criticism into an introduction, "Jennifer enjoys grape drink and putting her foot on her other foot."

I'm getting off the stage.  I got a ton of wrestling to watch.

I'll see you next time, if there is a next time...

Your pal,

Jim

The 200 Greatest Major League Baseball Players of All Time, 2012 Ed. 1-10

Friday, December 16, 2011

The previous ten is here.

1.Babe Ruth RF/LHP Yankees 1914-35 
 180
 .319/.451/.715
 68-50
 OPS+206
 ERA+122
 MVPQ: 1917, 1932
 Elite: 1916, 1928, 1930
 Inner circle: 1919, 1920, 1921, 1923 (14 wins), 1924, 1926, 1927, 1931
 PA: 10,600
 IP: 1220 

2.Barry Bonds LF Giants/Pirates 1986-07
  172.6
  .307/.452/.636
   OPS+ 181
   MVPQ: 1991, 1995, 1997, 2000
   Elite: 1990, 1998, 2003,
   Inner circle: 1992, 1993, 1996, 2001, 2002, 2004
  PA: 12,600

  3.Willie Mays CF Giants 1951-73
   149.95
   .314/.400/.604
   OPS+ 155
   MVPQ: 1960, 1961, 1966
   Elite: 1955, 1957,
   Inner circle: 1954, 1958, 1962, 1963, 1964, 1965
   PA:12,500

4.Walter Johnson RHP Senators 1907-27
  145.15
  394-204
  ERA+ 147
  MVPQ:1911
  Elite: 1916, 1918, 1919
  Inner circle: 1910, 1912, 1913, 1914, 1915
  IP: 5900

5. Ty Cobb CF Tigers 1905-28 
    141.35
    .357/.425/.592
    OPS+168
    MVPQ: 1912,
    Elite: 1909, 1915,
    Inner circle: 1910, 1911, 1917
    PA: 13,060


6.Roger Clemens RHP 1984-07 Red Sox/Yankees
  138.6
  377-205
  ERA+ 143
  MVPQ: 1986, 1992
  Elite: 1987
  Inner circle: 1990, 1997
  IP: 4900

7. Hank Aaron RF Braves 1954-76
    135.5
    .319/.392/.604
    OPS+155
    MVPQ= 1959, 1960, 1961, 1963, 1967
     PA: 13,940

8.Cy Young RHP 1890-11 Spiders/Red Sox
   133
   383-232
   ERA+138
   MVPQ= 1892, 1893, 1895, 1902, 1904, 1908
   Elite: 1901,
   IP: 5500

9.Honus Wagner SS Pirates 1897-17
   131.05
   OPS+ 150
   MVPQ:1901, 1903, 1904, 1909, 1912
   Elite: 1905, 1906, 1907,
   Inner circle: 1908
   PA: 11,750
   
10.Stan Musial LF/RF/1B 1941-63 Cardinals 
     124.75
     OPS+159
     .330/.416/.592
     MVPQ=1944, 1946, 1949
     Elite:1943, 1951
     Inner circle:1948
     PA: 12,700

And so it ends.  The top ten leaves catcher (Bench, Piazza on the first team; Dickey and Carter on the second) first base (Gehrig, Pujols on the first team; Brouthers and Connor on the second) and second base (Hornsby, Lajoie on the first team, Collins, Morgan on the second).

ARod is never going to catch Wagner; he solidly remains the best SS who ever lived; everyone else moves down; Vaughan and Ripken on the second team.   Third base stays the same - Schmidt and Mathews on the first team; Boggs and Chipper on the second.

Bonds and his 13 MVPQ seasons is solidly the best LF who ever lived. Williams is his backup; Musial and Henderson are on the second team. Mays and Cobb are the new center fielders, that bumps Mantle/Speaker to the second team (and DiMaggio off either squad which is madness)  Ruth and Aaron to the first team in right; Ott/Robinson now to the second team.

The arms in this section are Johnson/Clemens/Young in that order - and I think they're the 3 best pitchers who ever lived.

So, two active players on the all time 25 man roster, and Pujols has a chance to be the best first baseman who ever lived by the end of his career.  Piazza's bat makes him maybe a surprise result as the second best catcher of all time.  Four pitchers of recent vintage in the all time top 9: Clemens, Maddux, Pedro, Unit.

Gary Carter's the backup on the B squad, making him the best baseball player of all time I ever met; Chipper has now passed Brett to be the 4th best third baseman of all time.  Rivera's the active player on the B team, his limited use coupled with total dominance in that use makes him the most difficult rank.  Dropping Newhouser and going with only 8 pitchers in order to add DiMaggio would just make things too easy on all of us.

Team One
 C Bench
    Piazza
 
1B Gehrig
     Pujols
        
2B Hornsby 
     Lajoie
     
SS Wagner
     Rodriguez 
     
  3B Schmidt
        Mathews
   
LF  Bonds
      Williams
            
CF   Mays
        Cobb
    
RF  Ruth
       Aaron
  
 P W Johnson
     Clemens
     Young
   Alexander
    Maddux    
    Martinez
    Grove(L) 
   Mathewson
    Johnson (L)
    
   
Team 2

C Dickey

    Carter

1B  Brouthers

      Connor 
           
  2B  Collins
         Morgan
      
SS Vaughan 
    Ripken
     
     
3B  Boggs
      Jones
     
     
LF  Musial
      Henderson
     
   
CF  Mantle
      Speaker
      
        
RF Ott
      Robinson
                
P
  Gibson
  Walsh
  Rivera
  Nichols
  Seaver 
  Spahn(L)
   Hubbell (L)
   Clarkson
   Newhouser (L) 
   

I Pick Every NFL Game in 2011 - Week 15

Thursday, December 15, 2011

Last week is here.  I'm 96-105-7 against the spread, 144-64 straight up.


I also missed out on the fantasy playoffs in all 3 of my leagues.


Atl -11.5 Jax (win/win)
Dall -7 TB(win/win)
Hou -6 Carol(loss/loss)
NYG -7 Wash(loss/loss)
Buff -.5 Mia(loss/loss)
Chi -3.5 Sea(loss/loss)
NO -7 Minn(win/win)
Cin -6.5 StL(win/win)
Tenn -6.5 Indy(loss/loss)
GB -14 KC(loss/loss)
Det -1 Oak (push/win)
NE -7 Den(win/win)
Eagles -3 Jets(win/win)
Ariz -7 Cle (loss/win)
Balt -2.5 SD(loss/loss)
Pit +1.5 Niners(loss/loss)


6-9-1, 102-114-8
8-8, 152-72

The 200 Greatest Major League Baseball Players of All Time, 2012 Ed. 11-20

Tuesday, December 13, 2011

The previous ten is here.


11.Tris Speaker 1907-28 CF Indians/Red Sox
     122.1
     .327/.411/.555
     OPS+157
     MVPQ=1913, 1916, 1923
     Elite: 1912, 1914
     PA=12,000
     

12.Ted Williams LF Red Sox 1939-60
     118.85
     .332/.455/.658
     OPS+190
     MVPQ=1948, 1949, 1957
     Elite: 1947
     Inner circle: 1941, 1942, 1946
     PA: 9800

13.Rickey Henderson LF 1979-03 A's/Yankees
    116.7
    .291/.411/.456
    OPS+127
    Elite: 1985,
    Inner circle: 1990
    PA: 13,350

14.Rogers Hornsby 2B 1915-37 Cards/Browns
     116.6
     .333/.421/.608
     OPS+=175
     MVPQ=1917, 1928
     Elite=1920, 1922, 1925, 1927
     Inner circle: 1921, 1924, 1929
     PA=9500 

15.Eddie Collins 2B White Sox 1906-30
     115.95
     .331/.427/.487
     OPS+141
     MVPQ=1912, 1914, 1920
     Elite=1909, 1910, 1915
     Inner circle=1913
     PA=12,030

16.Greg Maddux RHP 1986-08 Braves/Cubs
     110.9
     358-261
     ERA+132
     MVPQ=1992
     Elite=1994, 1995
     IP=5000
   
17. Mike Schmidt 3B Phillies 1972-89
     109.05
     .269/.386/.572
     OPS+147
     MVPQ=1976
     Elite=1974, 1977, 1980, 1981
    PA=10,060
   
18. Lou Gehrig 1B Yankees 1923-39
     109
     OPS+178
     .318/.421/.656
     MVPQ=1930, 1931
     Elite=1928, 1934, 1935, 1936
     Inner Circle=1927
     PA=9660

19.Tom Seaver RHP 1967-86 Mets/Reds
     108.8
     310-200
     ERA+128
     Elite=1973
     Inner circle=1971
     MVPQ=1975
     IP=4780

20.Pete Alexander 1911-30 RHP Cubs/Phillies
     108.5
     ERA+136
     320-199
     Elite=1917
     Inner circle=1915, 1916, 1920
     IP=5200
 
We start with Gehrig v. Pujols.  Gehrig had a better bat (higher OPS+ driven by a higher adjusted slugging); Gehrig's career value is 16 wins greater, and that's significant - but not as significant as the couple of thousand plate appearances he's had beyond Pujols.  Per game, Pujols has more value driven by his superior glove.  Pujols has 8 MVPQ seasons, Gehrig 7; Pujols never had a year as good as Gehrig's best season.  Pujols is 4 healthy years from reaching Gehrig's number of plate appearances; at that point, probably, he's past Gehrig's career value, but at that point, his per game value might be a little less, if he has, in fact, entered his decline phase.  If he hasn't - if he has another couple of MVPQ years left, he goes by Gehrig without question.

It is really close.  You keep Gehrig as your starting first baseman, but Pujols is second.

The best player in MLB history with only ten players left is Hornsby.  He had Gehrig's bat but played second base.  His 9 MVPQ seasons is the current record; he and Ted Williams and Pete Alexander all hit this section with 3 Inner Circle seasons, the current record.  Collins doesn't quite beat out Lajoie, so he and Morgan are the new B team. We're out of second basemen, so that's the final list.  Schmidt's our last third baseman, and there just isn't a good argument for anyone else as the best third baseman of all time.

If Hornsby isn't the best baseball player on the list, it's Williams, the best bat we've seen so far.  He and Rickey go into left field, we slide Robinson over to right with Ott.  Speaker challenges the Yankees.  Williams holds him off - Speaker's got a 20 win advantage but in 3000 more plate appearances.  It's close, Mantle's bat holds him off.  Speaker goes by Joe D solidly however, 40 more wins and the same bat.  3 arms in the sections - they're close, but it's Alexander/Maddux/Seaver.  Alexander's the new best pitcher of all time; Pedro was better per game, but the aggregate value and Alexander's 3 inner circle seasons make him the best.  Maddux is going to move into second, the total value really starts to weigh against Pedro in this section. Seaver moves in behind Nichols on the B team.

With only the ten most valuable players in baseball history left, here are the two all time baseball rosters.

 Team One
 C Bench 
    Piazza
    
1B Gehrig 
     Pujols
   
     
2B Hornsby 
     Lajoie
     

SS Rodriguez 
     Vaughan
      
  3B Schmidt
        Mathews
   
LF  Williams
       Henderson
      
    
CF   Mantle
       Speaker
    
RF  Ott
       Robinson
  
 
   Alexander
    Maddux    
    Martinez
    Johnson(L) 
   Mathewson
    Grove (L)
    Gibson   
    Walsh
    Rivera
   
Team 2

C Dickey

    Carter

1B  Brouthers

      Connor 
           
  2B  Collins
         Morgan
      
SS Ripken
     Banks
     
3B  Boggs
      Jones
     
     
LF  Delahanty
      Jackson
     
   
CF  DiMaggio
       Hamilton
      
        
RF Ramirez
      Heilmann
      
                
P Nichols
  Seaver 
  Spahn(L)
   Hubbell (L)
   Clarkson
   Newhouser (L) 
   Carlton(L)
   Feller

Uti Caruthers

2011-2012 College Bowl Predictions

Monday, December 12, 2011

I was 86-79-4 against the spread this season.

I'll pick each game both against the number and straight up, noting if there's a difference.

New Mexico: Temple -6.5 Wyoming(win/win)
Idaho Potato: Ohio +3.5 Utah St.(win/win)
New Orleans: La-La +5 SD St (SD St wins)(win/loss)
Beef O Bradys: FIU -4 Marshall(loss/loss)
Poinsettia: La Tech +11 TCU (TCU wins)(win/win)
Las Vegas: Boise St. -13.5 ASU(win/win)
Hawaii: SMiss -6 Nevada(win/win)
Independence: UNC +5 Missouri (Missouri wins)(loss/win)
Little Caesars: WMich +2.5 Purdue(loss/loss)
Belk: Louisville +2.5 NC St(loss/loss)
Military: Toledo -3 AForce(loss/win)
Holiday: Tex -3 Cal(win/win)
Champs Sports: FSU -3 NDame(win/win)
Alamo: Baylor -9 Wash(win/win)
Armed Forces: BYU - 3 Tulsa (push/win)
New Era Pinstripe: Rutgers -2 Iowa St.(win/win)
Music City: Wake +6.5 Miss St. (Miss St wins)(win/win)
Insight: Iowa +14 Oklahoma (OU wins)(loss/win)
Meineke Car Care: A&M -9.5 Nwestern(win/win)
Sun: Geo Tech -3.5 Utah(loss/loss)
Fight Hunger: Illinois -3 UCLA(win/win)
Liberty: UC +2.5 Vandy(win/win)
Chick Fil A: Virginia +1 Auburn(loss/loss)
Ticket City: Houston -5.5 Penn St.(win/win)
Gator: Ohio St. +2 Florida(loss/loss)
Outback: Mich St. +3.5 UGA(win/win)
Cap One: SCarol -1 Neb(win/win)
Rose: Wisc +6.5 Oreg(loss/loss)
Fiesta: OKSt -3.5 Stan(loss/win)
Sugar: Mich -2 VT(win/win)
Orange: Clem -3 WVA(loss/loss)
Cotton: KSt +7 Ark(Ark wins)(loss/win)
Compass: Pitt -5.5 SMU(loss/loss)
GoDaddy: NIU +1 Ark St.win/win
BCS: LSU -1 Alabama loss/loss


ATS: 19-15-1
SU: 24-11

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