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The Weekly Tendown March 4-10 2012

Sunday, March 11, 2012

Dear Internet:



It's Selection Sunday.  On Veteran's Day, I picked Kentucky to cut down the nets this year.

The brackets come out in four hours; spoiler alert, I'll keep picking Kentucky.

117 is here. This is Tendown 118.

1. The Crazy Story from the NY Times Magazine You Should Read
Girls in Western New York be twitching.

2. I Don't Care How Popular He Gets, His Follow Up Work is Painfully Unfunny
Honey Badger Randall. I don't hate him for having a voiceover clip bring him a career when I don't have health insurance, but it would be better if he were funny.


3. Moratorium!
At the end of the day.


Go big or go home.


Were I still single, having a date say "go big or go home" would categorically be the end of the evening.


4. Why?
 

5. Super Tuesday
Mitt Romeny continued his inevitable, sexless march to the nomination - and Dennis Kucinich got redistricted right out of office.

6. Who Said It?
Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei or Rick Santorum

7. Who Tweeted It?
It's not just Rush Limbaugh who tried to slut-shame a law student who attempted to testify about why birth control should be covered by health insurance programs.

It's also Patricia Heaton.


"If every Tweaton sent Georgetown Gal one condom, her parents wouldn't have to cancel basic cable, & she would never reproduce -- sound good?"


Hey G-Town Gal: turn your underwear inside out! Then u only have to do laundry every 2 weeks—saves on detergent & trips to Laundromat


"If your parents have to pay for your birth control, maybe they should get a say in who u sleep with. Instant birth control.


8. The Kind of Thing That Might Still Happen to a Gay Kid in a Public School in 2012


Your principal might tell you you're going to hell.

9. I Watch 4 Star Wrestling Matches
Okay, I don't - I'm behind, but hopefully by next week's Tendown.

I only reference it as this week was the best WWF match of the year so far, Ziggler/Kingston went 3 3/4 on Superstars.

10. Did You Know This Was Happening?


Magic and Bird on Broadway.  One step closer to my dream: Dwayne Schintzius: The Musical.



That's all for this time.  I'll be back next time, if there is a next time...

Your pal,

Jim

Top 10 Right Now - First Basemen (2012)

Saturday, March 10, 2012

Part of a series. Previous post is here.



MLB Network List:

10. Todd Helton
9. Justin Morneau
8. Ryan Howard
7. Mark Teixeira
6. Paul Konerko
5. Lance Berkman
4. Prince Fielder
3. Adrian Gonzalez
2. Joey Votto
1. Albert Pujols

My List:
10. Ryan Howard
9. Gaby Sanchez
8. Ike Davis
7. Paul Konerko
6. Lance Berkman
5. Mark Teixeira
4. Prince Fielder
3. Adrian Gonzalez
2. Joey Votto
1. Albert Pujols


Top 10 Right Now - Catchers (2012)

Friday, March 9, 2012

MLB Network recently did a "top 10" at each position for 2012 and an overall top 100; they handed over their top 10 lists to the metrics guys (but not the top 100, which makes for some interesting cross comparison) so there isn't as much room for outrage as is ideal.

I've got all the lists - I've made my own lists.  Here we go.



MLB Network List:

10. Carlos Ruiz
9. Matt Wieters
8. Yadier Molina
7. Brian McCann
6. Carlos Santana
5. Alex Avila
4. Buster Posey
3. Miguel Montero
2. Joe Mauer
1. Mike Napoli

My List:
10. Geovany Soto
9. Yadier Molina
8. Matt Wieters
7. Miguel Montero
6. Alex Avila
5. Mike Napoli
4. Buster Posey
3. Brian McCann
2. Carlos Santana
1. Joe Mauer

2012 MLB Predictions

Tuesday, March 6, 2012

This is the fourth and final build; I'll revisit as we get closer to the season.  I'd feel better about my pick to win the chip if they had a different manager. My projected win total is next to the team.  As we get closer, I'll compare my win total to the Vegas win totals.  Also, MLB Network has done a Top 100 right now and a Top 10 at each position, my plan is to match all of that before Opening Day.

I have good success against the books in predicting season long win totals, where there's a play, I'll indicate.




AL East
1.       NYY 94
 n   -ex SFG: David Aardsma
2.      Bos 90WC
-    -ex SFG: Cody Ross
3.       TB 86WC
-    -ex SFG: Jeff Keppinger
4.       Tor 79
     -ex SFG: Omar Vizquel, Rajai Davis
5.       Balt 72

AL Cent
1.       Det 89 (Under 93 is a solid play)
-     Cle 79
-     -ex SFG: Chris Ray
3.       CWS 79 (Over 74.5 is worth consideration)
      -ex SFG: AJ Pierzynski, Jesse Crain
4.       Min 72
-     -ex SFG: Francisco Liriano
5.       KC 69(Under 80 is stealing money; if this is the kind of investment you ever make, really think about this one)
      -ex SFG: Jonathan Sanchez

                  AL West
                  1. Tex 96World Champions(over 92 is a good play)
                  -ex SFG: Yorvit Torrealba, Joe Nathan,
 2.  LAA 87WC(under 92.5 is a good play)
-ex SFG: Jerome Williams, LaTroy Hawkins
3. Oak 76(over 71.5 is worth consideration)
-ex SFG: Erick Threets
4. Sea 70

NL East
1.       Philadelphia 89Pennant(under 92.5 is worth consideration)
2.       Mia 89WC(over 84.5 is worth consideration)
3.       Atl 86WC
4.       Was 82
       ex-SFG: Mark DeRosa
5.       NYM 77(over 71.5 is worth thinking about)
      ex-SFG: Andres Torres, Ramon Ramirez
      

NL Cen
1.      Mil 86 
      StL 86WC
      ex-SFG: Carlos Beltran, Scott Linebrink
2.       Cin 85
3.       Pit 73
      ex-SFG: Kevin Correia, Jason Grilli
5.       Chi 73
6.       Hou 61
      ex-SFG: Matt Downs, Livan Hernandez, Henry Sosa,

NL West
1.       SFG 86
2.       Ariz 84
       Col 82
4.       LA 79
      ex-SFG: Juan Uribe
5.       SD 76:
      ex-SFG: Jesus Guzman, Will Venable's Dad.

I think Texas is the best team in baseball; they're even money to win the AL West, and that's worth an investment.  The result of the added Wild Card is there's almost no circumstance where the Yankees and Red Sox aren't in the playoffs almost every single year.  Detroit's pretty easily the best team in the Central.  That means you start the season with only 2 available playoff spots in the AL.  Putting aside the order of the six teams, my anticipation is an incredibly high percentage of prognostication will have the same six teams as do I making the AL postseason.

The NL is harder to forecast; I've got the Phillies winning the pennant, but don't see them hitting their Vegas win total. Washington/Reds/Arizona/Rockies could all take playoff spots I've given to other teams.  I think the four best teams (and maybe 5, with Detroit being the fifth) in baseball are all in the AL.  Hell, maybe the Angels are 6th.

Sports Illustrated picked a rematch of the '02 Series, with my SFG again losing to the Angels; had we re-signed Beltran and made what seems a self evident commitment to playing Belt every day that would seem more reasonable from the National League side.

The postseason is too hard to reasonably forecast, if it's Detroit or Tampa or even the Angels that wouldn't surprise.  But Texas is the best team and given the relative weakness of the West the team most likely to come out of the regular season with the best record in the AL.  The AL is the better league, so if you have to take a champ - I'll take the Rangers.

AL MVP - Pujols
AL Cy - Verlander
AL Rookie - Darvish

NL MVP - Votto
NL Cy - Halladay
NL Rookie - Harper

The Weekly Tendown February 26-March 3 2012(Leg! Leg! Leg!)

Sunday, March 4, 2012

Dear Internet:

Community returns in two weeks.

116 is here. This is Tendown 117.

1. More Entertaining than the Oscars.
Not a full list of things more entertaining than the Oscars, I'm just the one dude and it's been a long week.

Instead, just one thing - a wall of reaction shots from Oscar losers throughout history.

Beyond Jim Rash punching upward at Angelina's leg, my favorite part of the Oscar talk was all of the plaudits given to Viola Davis for shedding her wig.

                                            Tell us: Are you glad Davis rocked her natural locks at the Oscars?

Viola Davis Hair


It's a good trend, my assumption is that the Hollywood commentariat will look to extend the "all natural hair" value beyond just Viola Davis - no more wigs, weaves, extensions, Brazilian Blowouts, Heat Free Protein Bonds, Microtubes, Shrinkies, Swing Wefts, Chemical Free Highlights, or coloring of any type.  It can't be that it's only Davis who needs to embrace her natural hair - so at next year's Oscars, ladies, don't be held capture by some type of normative idea of hair hegemony.  You be who you are.


Cameron Diaz never looked better.


2. My New Favorite College Football Player
It's Joseph Williams from Virginia, hunger striking on behalf of university employees.

3. My Least Favorite Professional Athlete(s), At Least For This Week.
It's evolution denier Paul Azinger. and anti gay bigot Craig James.

4. Is Insulting Religion Protected Speech?
Apparently not in Pennsylvania.

5. Ryan Braun
One the elements of the largely manufactured PED crisis in baseball has been the inability of baseball fans who otherwise would be opposed to the war on drugs to fail to recognize that they've been conned by the morality police on the steroid issue.

Not conned is Charlie Pierce who hit two longstanding themes of mine this week:

Can someone seriously argue that it is ethical to take a drug to make a performance possible, but unethical to take a drug that makes that performance better? Isn't making a performance possible at all the ultimate performance enhancement?... Sports are rife with drugs. Without drugs of one sort or another, the NFL season would never begin, and the baseball season would end sometime in June owing to a lack of participating teams.

The steroid frenzy is of a sad piece with this history. It began, as all drug frenzies do, with a series of scare stories guaranteed to terrify the rubes. Then came the rush to pass laws and regulations without really thinking them through because this was The Greatest Crisis There Absolutely Ever Was. Then came all the people who made careers out of the laws and regulations prompted by the original frenzy. Then came all the reporters and commentators who got rich enabling the people most directly profiting from the frenzy and/or being professionally outraged on behalf of "the fans" but, really, only expressing their own anger at not being allowed to be 14 years old anymore.


6. Here's Our Current Economy:


Between 2009 and 2011, 88 percent of national income growth went to corporate profits, while just 1 percent went to wages.


I am, right now, a one issue voter.  And that's my issue.

7. Why Did Don Imus Get Fired Again?
Imus made racially insensitive jokes a few years ago, right?  Cost him his gig for awhile?

A half dozen years ago, Rush Limbaugh took what was most likely a sex tour of the Dominican Republic as he was found with a bottle of Viagra prescribed to someone else by Customs agents.

This week, Limbaugh called a law student the Republicans refused to hear testimony from at their 18th century contraception hearings a slut.

He then said she should be required to post sex tapes online.  And demonstrated a curious understanding of how birth control pills work by explaining She's having sex so frequently that she can't afford all the birth-control pills that she needs. That's what she's saying."  And also asked the musical question who bought your condoms in 6th grade?

And then apologized, saying he didn't mean a personal attack.

Which is reasonable, Limbaugh doesn't have anything personally against the law student, he hates women categorically. Unlike Santorum, who only hates women who have sex just because they feel like it.

More broadly on the contraceptive issue that a Santorum presidency would take head on (stop doing things in the sexual realm that you shouldn't be doing, so sayeth President Santorum) either we believe that our health care should be tied to employment for the vast majority of Americans or we believe that employers should be able to exercise "conscience" in determining what types of health coverage they are willing to kick in for - but when your ideology argues both, you deserve to be excluded from grown up talk.  When you yell that health care for all would be tyranny and constantly use metaphors like "we're being made to bend over and grab our ankles for Obama" but that the government should be allowed to order forcible penetration of women who elected to have constitutionally protected abortions, maybe you'll work the rubes, but serious minded people know who you are.

8. Nipple Sized Hail
I spent the week on planes sandwiched around a 5 hour job interview.

I was in the area of the country hit by tornadoes; the town I was in was not really impacted, but there was a tornado warning during the end of my interview that required moving to a safe room on campus.

I didn't experience the unusually shaped hailstorm, but "nipple sized hail" was the phrase I heard from the local weather report upon waking up Wednesday morning.

The job's a big deal; I'm in the final four and this was the last round of the process.  By next week's Tendown I should know.  I did good; I should have; I've had essentially the same interview 4 times in the past few months.  If I get this job I should be able to burn my resume for the foreseeable future.

9. The New MLB Wild Card Format
Sucks.

But had it been in place since the introduction of the WC in baseball it would have meant four additional playoff appearances for your San Francisco Giants.

10. And, of course, we end with...
Kelly Clarkson!

That's all for this time.  I'll see you next time...if there is a next time.

Your pal,

Jim

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