Fear of a Black Planet
Wednesday, September 23, 2009
One of my favorite episodes of Frontline ever was a piece on the 10 year anniversary of the OJ Simpson verdict; it was smarter about the actual trial than the culture has allowed us to be and contextualized it in the context of race relations. Near the end, there was a segment in a South Central Los Angeles barbershop (the general consensus of the patrons, that the LAPD "framed a guilty man" was earlier offered in the documentary by a criminal procedure class at Georgetown Law) which ended with two of the African-American men doing a run about Simpson finding out he wasn't really accepted in the white community just like Michael Jackson found out he wasn't really accepted in the white community because at the end of the day, "white people call rich black people niggers."
In one of my previous health care pieces I got the jump on Jimmy Carter in suggesting the hyperbolic reaction to Obama bears a relationship to his race. That doesn't mean that if you oppose Obama you're a racist - it doesn't even mean that Joe Wilson, Congressman from South Carolina who had previously opposed the removal of the Confederate flag from the state's capitol, had Obama's race consciously in his mind when he shouted out "you lie" during his address to Congress. We've seen the same combination of dumbness, demogoguery, and corporate dollars in action mobilize in opposition to health care reform before.
What Obama's race does do is makes it easier for his opponents to get to that fevered level, makes it easier to cross that bridge to move him from "politician whose policies I disagree with" to "terrorist, Nazi, death panels, Muslim, Kenya, Manchurian Candidate, socialist, Arab."
There is a level of opposition to this health care bill that genuinely believes Obama is looking to destroy the United States - that his secret goal is to kill Americans. They have filled talk radio with it, sent countless forwarded emails across cyberspace with it, that language existed at McCain-Palin campaign rallies, at the tea parties, the town hall meetings, the 9-12 March on Washington. And some of it is clearly stoked - stoked by Simple Jack saying Obama has a "deep seated hatred for white people" or Rush Limbaugh saying "in Obama's America" black kids cheer as white kids get beaten up on a school bus (and the solution to that should be "segregation"), or by the National Republican Senatorial Committee who issued a poll which included the following question:
Rationing and Restricting Health Care - Are you concerned that health care rationing could lead to:
A "quota" system which would determine who would get treatment on the basis of race or age.
A few weeks ago, I wrote about another poll, a RNC poll that asked if people were concerned that political party affiliation might be a basis for determining who received treatment under a government run health care plan. There is a feeder relationship in play here, Fox News and right wing talk have positioned themselves as the "real news" - where you won't get lied to by liberal facts like global warming or evolution. Exponentially, the number of Americans who can live hermetically sealed in propaganda bubbles, uncluttered with thoughts other than those spewed at them by those married to the Christian and/or plutocratic right, has increased. When you add the official imprint of the Republican Party, whether it's Sarah Palin connecting Obama to terrorists, calling his health care plan "evil", or Texas governor Perry using the word "secession", or that poll question - using the racially loaded word "quota" in the context of Obama's health care plan to imply that white people would lose access to doctors - it is just enough gas to set those predisposed to those sorts of thoughts aflame with anger.
You don't need to be racist to oppose Obama, but there haven't been guns at town hall meetings of the President before, there haven't been school district boycotts of Presidential speeches before, there haven't been Congressmen shouting out "you lie" at the President before, phrases like "terrorist fist jab" and "pals around with terrorists" weren't used to attack a President before.
White Presidents, as Bill Clinton has pointed out, get attacked and attacked hard. But less in a way which has as its premise the idea that they aren't really the President. That they shouldn't be treated as the President. There are lots of ways, to wrap this health care debate back to the first Obama speech, to think about what happened to Harvard Professor Henry Louis Gates, but there aren't white Harvard professors arrested under similar circumstances. If we see a South Carolina congressman shout something at first African-American President that hasn't been shouted by a Congressman at a white President - or a Boston cop arrest a black Harvard professor for something a white Harvard professor has never been arrested for - it doesn't stretch the boundaries of fair play to fit that in a racial frame.
Last week, a Republican congressman from Missouri used an anecdote about monkeys stealing golf balls to explain the condition in which conservatives find themselves in today's Washington. Simple Jack and Rush Limbaugh have used the word "reparations" to explain Obama's motivating purpose behind social policy. Limbaugh called Obama "an angry black guy".
When some of his opponents see Obama, they don't see the President of the United States - they see "just another n***** in America."
I Pick Every NFL Game - Week 3
Overall: 15-17
If you're new (1) no, you should never play every NFL game, this is just for completeness purposes (2) I'm not disappointed by the early showing (3) I'm going to have a winning week this week. (4) I did not.
Titans +3 Jets (loss)
Ravens -13 Cleveland (win)
Tampa +6.5 NYG (loss)
Jags +3.5 Texans (win)
Vikes -7 Niners (loss)
Pats -4 Falcons (win)
Skins -6.5 Lions (loss)
GB -6.5 Rams (win)
Seattle +2.5 Chic (loss)
Buff +6 NO (loss)
Eagles -9.5 KC (win)
Bengals +4 Steelers (win)
Raiders +1.5 Denver (loss)
Dolphins +6 Chargers (loss)
Colts +2 Cards (win)
Panthers +9 Cowboys (loss)
7-9
Overall: 22-26
Maybe just listen to me picking the college games.
If you're new (1) no, you should never play every NFL game, this is just for completeness purposes (2) I'm not disappointed by the early showing (3) I'm going to have a winning week this week. (4) I did not.
Titans +3 Jets (loss)
Ravens -13 Cleveland (win)
Tampa +6.5 NYG (loss)
Jags +3.5 Texans (win)
Vikes -7 Niners (loss)
Pats -4 Falcons (win)
Skins -6.5 Lions (loss)
GB -6.5 Rams (win)
Seattle +2.5 Chic (loss)
Buff +6 NO (loss)
Eagles -9.5 KC (win)
Bengals +4 Steelers (win)
Raiders +1.5 Denver (loss)
Dolphins +6 Chargers (loss)
Colts +2 Cards (win)
Panthers +9 Cowboys (loss)
7-9
Overall: 22-26
Maybe just listen to me picking the college games.
2009 Emmy Predictions
Saturday, September 19, 2009
Not only do I predict college football games (15-5 going into today's games) I also predict tomorrow's Emmy Awards. Fun to do!
Best Drama:
Will Win: Mad Men (-125)
Should Win: Breaking Bad
Mad Men's a good investment at that number; the nominations margin throughout the categories it has over the other contenders bodes well historically. I'd lean, by the narrowest of margins, Breaking Bad by my preference last season. If there's an upset, that's what will win. Big Love is also terrific, it won't win as this is its only nom, but it gives me a chance to offer that Ginnifer Goodwin is really, really good to watch on the tv set.
The Shield and Friday Night Lights would have rounded out this category nicely, and I'd have voted for the cop show.
Best Comedy:
Will Win: 30 Rock (-250)
Should Win: 30 Rock
30 Rock's a cut above every other comedy; it's got nominations advantages and has leapt past The Office as the official smart show that the tv intelligensia has embraced. Maybe the Office wins; Family Guy has had a noteworthy internet campaign to build some buzz - but it would be the biggest surprise of the night if 30 Rock didn't repeat. Even at -250 it's a good play. Of the other noms, I like HIMYM, it should have been paired with a Big Bang nom and they might have a couple year run as the dopplegangers for the NBC shows. United States of Tara could have gotten a nom - Party Down was a sneaky funny show on Starz that no one watched but I would have liked to see nominated.
Best Actor - Drama
Will Win: Bryan Cranston (+175)
Should Win: Bryan Cranston
Cranston's got a much flashier role than does Jon Hamm and that might be enough to get him across the line again, but at only +175 I'd stay away from that play. Hamm's +250 and maybe you take that plunge. Admittedly, I don't watch House (I don't watch doctor shows, all I think about is death) but I know that Hugh Laurie gets to do some scene chewing and the +400 number for him is friendly. In Treatment is a DVD show for me, so I've yet to see season two, but Gabriel Byrne was tremendous is season one, so his win wouldn't make me sad. I don't know how Michael Chiklis and Kyle Chandler aren't nominated.
Best Actress - Drama
Will Win: Glenn Close (+125)
Should Win: Elisabeth Moss
-It's hard time for some turnover in this category, we get into the soaps and the procedurals with the actress nominees; there's just a decided drop in show quality from actor to actress nominees. Close is +125 and she seems like a lock - but Moss at +500...there's a possibility Mad Men just runs over everyone, that it wins writing and directing and show, and Hamm - the chance that carries to Moss (who also is the best in the category - yay for Bookbag!) is absolutely worth the +500 investment. Connie Britton would have gotten my vote had she been nominated.
Best Actor - Comedy
Will Win: Steve Carrell
Should Win: Steve Carrell
There's an interesting investment to be made here. Alec Baldwin's the favorite, at -125, and if there's a gun to your head, you expect him to win. But word around the watercooler is his submission wasn't as strong as last year and that might open the door for the other two possibilities. Carrell (+250) has never won; and to be as big a star as he is, to have the level of acclaim that he gets, and to not have won means there might be room to slip him in this year. And the guy with the late buzz is Jim Parsons (+350), Big Bang Theory is starting to generate some traction, and this might be a moment for a real Emmy shocker. Consider the following - at those odds, an investment in both Parsons and Carrell leaves you in the black if either of them wins. This makes some sense to me.
Best Actress - Comedy
Will Win: Tina Fey (-300)
Should Win: Toni Collette
Fey's the biggest favorite on the board at -300, and she probably wins - but Toni Collette was crazy good in a show that was also pretty good around her, and she had a flashy, actor-y role such that it shouldn't surprise anyone if she were to take it. At +250 she's a nice play.
The other contest to play is best Reality-Competition where Dancing with the Stars is favored, interestingly over Amazing Race (+175). If you're unaware - Amazing Race has never lost this award, and getting an unbeaten underdog is a pretty rare occurrence.
And the rest - just picks, not making a qualitative assessment:
Reality Host - Phil Keoghan
Miniseries - Generation Kill
Made for TV Movie - Grey Gardens
Actor - Movie - Ian Mckellan
Actress - Movie - Sigourney Weaver
Variety - Saturday Night Live
Supporting Actor Comedy - Neil Patrick Harris
Supporting Actress Comedy - Amy Poehler
Best Drama:
Will Win: Mad Men (-125)
Should Win: Breaking Bad
Mad Men's a good investment at that number; the nominations margin throughout the categories it has over the other contenders bodes well historically. I'd lean, by the narrowest of margins, Breaking Bad by my preference last season. If there's an upset, that's what will win. Big Love is also terrific, it won't win as this is its only nom, but it gives me a chance to offer that Ginnifer Goodwin is really, really good to watch on the tv set.
The Shield and Friday Night Lights would have rounded out this category nicely, and I'd have voted for the cop show.
Best Comedy:
Will Win: 30 Rock (-250)
Should Win: 30 Rock
30 Rock's a cut above every other comedy; it's got nominations advantages and has leapt past The Office as the official smart show that the tv intelligensia has embraced. Maybe the Office wins; Family Guy has had a noteworthy internet campaign to build some buzz - but it would be the biggest surprise of the night if 30 Rock didn't repeat. Even at -250 it's a good play. Of the other noms, I like HIMYM, it should have been paired with a Big Bang nom and they might have a couple year run as the dopplegangers for the NBC shows. United States of Tara could have gotten a nom - Party Down was a sneaky funny show on Starz that no one watched but I would have liked to see nominated.
Best Actor - Drama
Will Win: Bryan Cranston (+175)
Should Win: Bryan Cranston
Cranston's got a much flashier role than does Jon Hamm and that might be enough to get him across the line again, but at only +175 I'd stay away from that play. Hamm's +250 and maybe you take that plunge. Admittedly, I don't watch House (I don't watch doctor shows, all I think about is death) but I know that Hugh Laurie gets to do some scene chewing and the +400 number for him is friendly. In Treatment is a DVD show for me, so I've yet to see season two, but Gabriel Byrne was tremendous is season one, so his win wouldn't make me sad. I don't know how Michael Chiklis and Kyle Chandler aren't nominated.
Best Actress - Drama
Will Win: Glenn Close (+125)
Should Win: Elisabeth Moss
-It's hard time for some turnover in this category, we get into the soaps and the procedurals with the actress nominees; there's just a decided drop in show quality from actor to actress nominees. Close is +125 and she seems like a lock - but Moss at +500...there's a possibility Mad Men just runs over everyone, that it wins writing and directing and show, and Hamm - the chance that carries to Moss (who also is the best in the category - yay for Bookbag!) is absolutely worth the +500 investment. Connie Britton would have gotten my vote had she been nominated.
Best Actor - Comedy
Will Win: Steve Carrell
Should Win: Steve Carrell
There's an interesting investment to be made here. Alec Baldwin's the favorite, at -125, and if there's a gun to your head, you expect him to win. But word around the watercooler is his submission wasn't as strong as last year and that might open the door for the other two possibilities. Carrell (+250) has never won; and to be as big a star as he is, to have the level of acclaim that he gets, and to not have won means there might be room to slip him in this year. And the guy with the late buzz is Jim Parsons (+350), Big Bang Theory is starting to generate some traction, and this might be a moment for a real Emmy shocker. Consider the following - at those odds, an investment in both Parsons and Carrell leaves you in the black if either of them wins. This makes some sense to me.
Best Actress - Comedy
Will Win: Tina Fey (-300)
Should Win: Toni Collette
Fey's the biggest favorite on the board at -300, and she probably wins - but Toni Collette was crazy good in a show that was also pretty good around her, and she had a flashy, actor-y role such that it shouldn't surprise anyone if she were to take it. At +250 she's a nice play.
The other contest to play is best Reality-Competition where Dancing with the Stars is favored, interestingly over Amazing Race (+175). If you're unaware - Amazing Race has never lost this award, and getting an unbeaten underdog is a pretty rare occurrence.
And the rest - just picks, not making a qualitative assessment:
Reality Host - Phil Keoghan
Miniseries - Generation Kill
Made for TV Movie - Grey Gardens
Actor - Movie - Ian Mckellan
Actress - Movie - Sigourney Weaver
Variety - Saturday Night Live
Supporting Actor Comedy - Neil Patrick Harris
Supporting Actress Comedy - Amy Poehler
The Weekly Ten - Ten College Football Picks. Week 3
Thursday, September 17, 2009
Overall: 15-5
Locks: 2-0
You're welcome. Last week's 9-1 is a fluke. If you've stumbled upon it last week and think I have the second sight, you're in error. Just one of those things.
Northwestern -3 Syracuse (loss)
Vandy -9 Miss St. (loss)
Wyoming +7 Colorado (loss)
Kansas -23 Duke (win)
UCF -4.5 Buffalo (win)
UConn +10.5 Baylor (win)
Virginia Tech -5 Nebraska (loss)
Hawaii +7 UNLV (win)
South Carolina -20.5 FAU (win)
Lock: Louisville +14 Kentucky (win)
6-4. Overall: 21-9. Locks: 3-0. You're welcome. Call my hotline.
Locks: 2-0
You're welcome. Last week's 9-1 is a fluke. If you've stumbled upon it last week and think I have the second sight, you're in error. Just one of those things.
Northwestern -3 Syracuse (loss)
Vandy -9 Miss St. (loss)
Wyoming +7 Colorado (loss)
Kansas -23 Duke (win)
UCF -4.5 Buffalo (win)
UConn +10.5 Baylor (win)
Virginia Tech -5 Nebraska (loss)
Hawaii +7 UNLV (win)
South Carolina -20.5 FAU (win)
Lock: Louisville +14 Kentucky (win)
6-4. Overall: 21-9. Locks: 3-0. You're welcome. Call my hotline.
I Pick Every NFL Game - Week 2
8-8 last week. Picking every game all season. See how this goes.
Oakland +3 KC (win)
Tennessee -6.5 Houston (loss)
NE -3.5 NYJ (loss)
Cincinnati +9 GB (win)
Minnesota -10 Detroit (win)
Philly 0 NO (loss)
Carolina +6 Atlanta (loss)
StL +9.5 Washington (win)
Jax -3 Arizona (loss)
Seattle +1.5 Niners (loss)
TB +5 Buffalo (loss)
Cleve +3 Den (loss)
SD -3 Balt (loss)
Chi +3 Pitt (win)
NYG +3 Dall (win)
Indy -3 Miami (win)
Week: 7-9
Overall: 15-17
Oakland +3 KC (win)
Tennessee -6.5 Houston (loss)
NE -3.5 NYJ (loss)
Cincinnati +9 GB (win)
Minnesota -10 Detroit (win)
Philly 0 NO (loss)
Carolina +6 Atlanta (loss)
StL +9.5 Washington (win)
Jax -3 Arizona (loss)
Seattle +1.5 Niners (loss)
TB +5 Buffalo (loss)
Cleve +3 Den (loss)
SD -3 Balt (loss)
Chi +3 Pitt (win)
NYG +3 Dall (win)
Indy -3 Miami (win)
Week: 7-9
Overall: 15-17
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