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49ers Super Bowl History

Saturday, January 25, 2020









Super Bowl 16
There really is nothing else except the quarterback.- Tom Landry, after the NFC Championship

What was it like to be a San Francisco 49ers fan in the late 1970s?

We had won 4 games out of our last 35 as we hit 1980.  When you’re a ten year old sports inclined boy living in the Bay Area, forming attachments for the first time with institutions outside of your own head, and the NFL team is as existentially bad as those late 70s 49ers teams, you either distance yourself emotionally out of an instinctive sense of self-protection, or you wear the losing as if part of your own identity, the shortcomings of your team mirroring your innermost lack of belief in your own worth.

I made the wrong choice. 

Until it started raining Super Bowls.

30+ years later, “The Catch” has withstood time’s passage and emerged as probably the signature play in NFL history, but at the time, the 49er vanquishing of America’s Team did not make us prohibitive favorites in Super Bowl 16.  Kenny Anderson, who should be near the top of your list of greatest NFL players not in the Hall of Fame, led the NFL in passing, and the Niners had to travel to the Midwest, as the Super Bowl was played in Detroit, a decision that seemed curious even at the time. 

Vegas missed and so did Landry, for while the quarterback was named MVP – Super Bowl 16 came down to Turnovers, Ray Wersching, and Danny Bunz.

The 49er franchise has dominated America’s Greatest Day like no other, but they began by fumbling their opening kickoff.  It was the only Niner turnover of the game; the Bengals gave it up 3 times before the end of the first half, each turnover directly led to Niner points (hold onto the ball in the Super Bowl; there have been 46 Super Bowls, in 37 of them there was a difference in the number of turnovers the teams had – in those 37 games, the team that won the turnover battle won the game 34 times.  Can I say it again please?  Only 3 times in Super Bowl history has the team that committed more turnovers won.  Don’t turn the ball over.)  

The Niners had long first half touchdown drives, of 6 and 7 minutes (who scored the first 49er Super Bowl Touchdown – Joe, Just Joe – you say Joe to any San Francisco sports fan regardless of context and he knows who you mean) and ended the half with a Ray Wersching squib kickoff that turned into a Bengal fumble that turned into a half ending field goal. 

Wersching was 4-4 in field goals in Super Bowl 16, added a fifth field goal three years later, all without a miss.  His post football life has not been as spotless. 

I was 11 years old in January of 1982; when you’re 11 years old and the football team you love has a 20 point halftime lead in the Super Bowl, all is right with the universe. 

Our lead was still 13 points as the third quarter ended, but only after the greatest goal line stand in Super Bowl history

It’s easily forgotten that the Bengals converted on fourth and one on the play just before the four downs that would define Super Bowl 16, with a two yard Pete Johnson run. 

First down, goal to go from the 3 – Johnson got two more, once again in the middle of the line, stopped by 
John Choma (who started the season as an offensive lineman) followed by Danny Bunz.

Second down, goal to go from the 1 – Johnson again - Bunz eats up the lead blocker, allowing for the tackle by Craig Puki and Hacksaw Reynolds

Third down, goal to go from the 1– A pass, in the flat to Charles Alexander, just outside end zone, stopped by a Bunz waist tackle

Fourth down, goal to go from the 1 – with only 10 men on defense for the Niners, Johnson ran into the line where he was stopped  at the goal line by Hacksaw, Ronnie Lott, and Danny Bunz.

In Super Bowl 16, Dan Bunz only played on the goal line and special teams – if I had an MVP vote for the game, it would have gone to Wersching (two successful squib kicks and 4 FGs) but as good a choice would have been Bunz.

The Bengals weren’t done after the goal line stand; they cut the score to 20-14 with ten minutes to go; but the Niners drove 50 yards in 5 minutes, including five Ricky Patton runs, to set up a big Wersching 40 yard field goal that made it a two score game with five and a half left.  If the game situation Sunday is the same, and David Akers lines up to attempt a 40 yard field goal that will either put the game nearly out of reach or give Joe Flacco the ball, how comfortable are you that the outcome will be the same?

One last Bengal turnover, an Eric Wright pick, led to the 4th Wersching kick; a garbage time Bengal touchdown gave us the final score of 26-21.  



Super Bowl 19
This week we are playing against the greatest passer of all time, as I understand it –Bill Walsh, discussing the conventional wisdom about Dan Marino

In 1984, Dan Marino lapped the field; 400 more yards, 16 more touchdowns, a yard and a half more yards/attempt than any other quarterback.  1984 was Neil Lomax’s career year; he was the only quarterback within a thousand yards of Marino.  Neil Lomax was sacked 49 times to Dan Marino’s 13.  Dan Marino’s quarterback rating in the AFC Championship game was over 135. Dan Marino was playing Nintendo and the rest of the league was a broke down electric football board.

The Dolphins had our old defensive coordinator; Chuck Studley was our coordinator 3 years previous and now he was Miami’s.

And they had a gimmick.  Remember how Hagler came out right handed in the Leonard fight?  You’ve been watching southpaw Marvin Hagler forever – and suddenly he’s right handed? 

The Dolphins went no huddle in the first quarter of Super Bowl 19; this was a brand new offense for the NFL; the Bengals started experimenting with it during the season – but that was Sam Wyche, a coach whose offense the LA Times once called “an assault on the senses” – this was Don Shula, the man in the grey flannel sweater.   If he had given birth during Reagan’s coin toss it wouldn’t have been significantly more unexpected. 

After the first quarter Miami had scored on both of their possessions and we were losing 10-7.   

Then came the second quarter.  Bill Walsh was noted for scripting plays the start a football game, but his ability to adjust on the fly was evident here – the Niners came out in the second quarter with six defensive backs, forced 3 and outs on the next three Dolphin drives – after each of those possession changes the Niners  scored a touchdown, that’s a 21 point swing in 12 minutes, and the game was effectively over.  

Miami’s inability to get a first down during that stretch was exacerbated by punter Reggie Roby; his three punts were 37, 40, and 39 yards – giving the Niners field possession round midfield each time, and when San Francisco converted with scores by Joe and Roger Craig (he had two in this sequence and finished with three, making OJ Simpson’s pregame prediction of a big game for Craig accurate).

Miami got two late first half field goals and then didn’t score at all in the second half; for the game, Marino was sacked four times and threw two picks – I’ve evaluated ever starting quarterback performance in Super Bowl history; out of 92 quarterbacked games – Dan Marino’s only ever Super Bowl was 62nd

Meanwhile, Roger Craig and Wendell Tyler had a combined 270 total yards of offense and Joe Montana followed up his MVP performance from three years previous with a significantly better effort here, 24 for 35, 331 yards, three passing touchdowns and one on the ground, and what is still the second most yards rushing for a Super Bowl quarterback.  This is the fifth best quarterback performance history and not even Joe’s best. 

The Niners – my Niners, who filled my 14 year old life with every bit of non-sex related nourishment I could possibly need, were the first team in NFL history to win 18 games.

And 3 months later, we drafted the greatest football player who ever lived. 


Super Bowl 23
Hey, isn't that John Candy - Joe Montana before the greatest drive in Super Bowl history.

This game made my face break out. 

I wish I had a picture; there weren’t many days when I was 18 years old that I was clear of facial blemish, and the heavy pancake makeup used in college theater didn’t help, as the day before Super Bowl 23 I finished a run giving a mediocre performance in a mediocre play (they were all mediocre, I was always mediocre; I did not appreciate that at the time – as I’ve aged, my youthful accomplishments feel closer to Toddlers & Tiaras than they do to actual attainment; there was some college play where I would make out 
backstage with the girl who did the makeup; that was probably the highlight of my thespian career)

We were big  favorites here; 7 points, but shouldn’t have been – by Pro-Football Reference’s Simple Rating System, the Bengals were the better club in 1988.  In the years between 19 and 23, Joe had broken his back, nearly been traded to San Diego for Billy Ray Smith, and Steve Young had been acquired to begin the most torturous passive aggressive quarterback battle in league history. Our regular season record in 1988 wasn’t only the worst for any Super Bowl winner to that date, it was the worst for an NFL Champ since 1934.  1984 was in the distant past and the clock was ticking on what was not as of yet a dynasty.

With 3 minutes and ten seconds left, down a field goal from our own 8 yard line, that metaphorical clock turned very real.  Historical memory works like this sometimes – had the Niners won 27-10, efficiently extinguishing a Bengal opponent that’s been left in the dustbin, the legend of Montana and the greatness of those 49er teams would have been a little diminished.  Staring immortality down by cracking a John Candy joke in the huddle has become the glow around Joe’s legacy. 

We started with two passes in the middle of the field – Roger Craig for 8, John Frank for 7.
Tick.  Tick.  Tick. 

A 7 yard out on the right to Jerry, and then a one yard Craig run right as we hit the two minute warning.

Third and 2 for the Niners at our own 31. 

Craig off tackle for 4.  1st down.  Timeout #1.

The next two plays got us 30 yards. 

Jerry got 17 on a pass left from Joe, stepping out of bounds to stop the clock, and then Roger caught a 13 yard check down in the middle of the field.  The only incompletion of the drive and a ten yard penalty on Randy Cross, in his last NFL game, backed us up to the Bengal 45, 2nd down and 20, 1 minute and 17 seconds left. 

I’ve done an evaluation of the “real MVPs” of every Super Bowl.  When considering 23 it was largely our defense that carried the bulk of the game - you'd look at Ronnie Lott with his memorable hit on Ickey Woods, leading a secondary that limited a historically underrated Esiason to the 71st best QB game in SB history.  You'd look at Charles Haley, a terror from the edge with 2 sacks and 7 unassisted tackles.  You'd look at Joe - this the 10th best quarterbacked game in SB history 23 of 36 for 357 yards and two scores - and then settle on Jerry Rice- 11 catches for 215 and a score and more than anyone responsible for our winning the game.  If someone can dominate a football game from the WR position - it was Rice in SB23.

On 2nd and 20 from the Bengal 45 Jerry caught a ball over the middle 12 yards downfield, then split two Bengal defensive backs to gain another 15.  We were at the 18 yard line and I was calculating field goal distances. 

Ray Wersching was 5-5 in his two Super Bowls, but now our kicker was Mike Cofer – and he had already missed two attempts during the game.  If we didn’t gain another yard, we were looking at a 35 yarder to send us into overtime, and there wasn’t a Niner fan alive who was confident that kick would be going through. 

Joe hit Roger over the middle for 8.

Timeout.  39 seconds left.  At the Bengal 10.

Baseball was largely a solitary passion for me; pouring over statistics, trying to find out of town radio broadcasts.  Football was about my family; my memory of John Taylor’s catching the game winning touchdown pass on the next play is less about the call (20 Halfback Curl X Up) or JT’s cut to the post that beat Ray Horton by inches to the football.  It was about all five us leaping simultaneously from our seats in maybe the single most unifying moment of family joy in my life.  I am not so good in clusters; I backed out of a dinner a friend was throwing for me when I turned 20 because too many people wound up invited; a girlfriend didn’t even consider asking me to come to a Halloween party she threw once knowing that I wouldn’t have been able to handle it (she was right). My biggest fear in isn’t dying, it’s living in a managed care facility with other people.  I would rather be in the ground than in a rec. room with two dozen other retirees.  I loved those 49ers teams because that was when I could feel the love from my family.  When Joe hit JT to win Super Bowl 23, I could still be me, even though I was not alone.


Super Bowl 24
Wade what do you think about doing something different? – Broncos secondary coach Charlie Watters to D-Coordinator Wade Phillips at halftime

Here’s the thing – by Simple Rating System this Broncos defense was the 21st best in Super Bowl history; they allowed the fewest points in the league in 1989.  The Niners were favored by 7 and a half, but you could not have gone into Super Bowl 24 thinking you were about to see the biggest blowout in Super Bowl history; a 45 point margin in a game where the Niners sat their offensive starters for all but one minute of the 4th quarter. 

Here’s the challenge of picking the greatest 49er Super Bowl winner; the ’84 team was 18-1 and blew out Dan Marino – but didn’t have Jerry Rice.  How can you possibly say the best 49er team wasn’t one with the greatest football player who ever lived?

But this ’89 team didn’t have Bill Walsh; he retired the year prior.  I feel about Bill Walsh the way right wingers feel about Reagan.  I’d like to see a couple of airports, a stretch of the interstate highway system, and maybe some type of hybrid dog breed like a cross between a dachshund and a Labrador retriever named after Bill Walsh.  So to say it was the team without Walsh which was the best is the only blasphemy this atheist is ever going to recognize. 

What I do know is no team in NFL postseason history put on a performance like this Niners team; after going 14-2 in the regular season we won our 3 playoff games by a combined score of 126-26.  Mel Kiper still argues today that John Elway was the greatest quarterback in NFL history – in Super Bowl 24 he turned the ball over three times, was sacked four times, was 10 of 26 for 108 yards and finished with a passer rating under 20.  My evaluation has this the 7th worst quarterbacked game in Super Bowl history.

On the other side of the ball was Joe Montana. 

This was his fourth and final appearance in a Super Bowl; it remains the greatest Super Bowl game anybody ever had.  5 touchdown passes (3 to Rice). A quarterback rating of just under 150.  It was 55-10 with 14 minutes left in the game and we called off the dogs.   I get arguments to the contrary, I do – but if you put every quarterback who ever played on the board, I think you have to take Joe.  Peyton’s never had a good Super Bowl and threw a pick 6 to lose one; Brady lost to two dramatically inferior Giants teams; Favre’s best Super Bowl was the fifteenth best quarterbacked game overall; and when both Marino and Elway had a chance to go up against him, they had all time bad – just epically bad in Elway’s case, performances, and Joe had among the greatest games in NFL history. 

It’s a bit of a love letter – but for one night, no one was ever better than the 1989 Niners. 


Super Bowl 29

If we lose, we die. – Carmen Policy before the NFC Championship game.

Some of the greatest teams in 49er history were in the 1990s, and Steve Young’s regular season performances rank with any in league history.  But season after season we came up short, surpassed first by that Cowboy dynasty and then by Favre’s best Packer teams. 

For one season though, we were once again the baddest team on the planet. 

Here’s a quick gambling tip – don’t give more than 10 in an NFL game.  Ever.  If it’s you and me against Lombardi’s best Packer team, we shouldn’t be more than ten point dogs.  It’s just the nature of the NFL.  A 16 point blowout can be easily backdoor covered into a 9 point “wait, what…” loss.  Just don’t do it.

I gave 18 in Super Bowl 29 and it never once concerned me.

This was a crazy talented football team – Steve and Jerry were now joined by Ricky Watters, who a year before scored 5 touchdowns in the divisional playoffs to retire Lawrence Taylor.  On defense were Hall of Famers Deion Sanders, Rickey Jackson; borderline Hall of Famers Tim McDonald and Bryant Young, and multiple Super Bowl winner Ken Norton.  If Prime Time were 15 years younger he would have his own ESPN special talking about “taking his talents to Ocean Beach” when he signed for this season with the Niners.

I flew to Miami for this game; I couldn’t get tickets, but my parents lived in South Florida, so my record of seeing every Niner Super Bowl with my family continued .

The game was over in 90 seconds; it was like Tyson/Spinks (young Mike Tyson vs the ’94 Niners, discuss) Steve hit Jerry for a 44 yard score on the third play of the game.  After a three and out – we scored again on the 4th play of our second drive, Watters getting a catch and run 51 yard score.  Less than 5 minutes into Super Bowl 29 and we were up 14. 

The final was 49-26 and not that close.  Similar to 5 years previous the Niners finished their scoring at the very beginning of the 4th quarter and coasted home;  the backups came in at mid-quarter leading to a trivia question whose answer is about to change – three 49er quarterbacks have completed Super Bowl passes – who’s the third guy?

It’s Bill Musgrave.

Steve Young threw six touchdown passes and even rushed for 49 yards.  It’s still the second best quarterbacked game in Super Bowl history.  You know who is first.

I took it for granted, the Niner greatness.  We built a better mousetrap and sprung it on the rest of the league for 15 years. 

The 49er dynasty was long ago and far away.  

Super Bowl 47

"How could it be any other way? - Ravens coach John Harbaugh.

Had you told me in January of '95 that the next time the Niners would see a Super Bowl a former Bears QB would be our head coach; I'd have been pleased things turned out so well for Mike Tomczak. The 90s ended after Steve Young took one too many headshots and it wssn't too many years later that we were fully in the wilderness. The second worst Niners team in franchise history was 2004 (Joe was our SB winning QB in '84, Steve our SB winning QB in '94, 2004 was Tim Rattay) and the 4th worst Niners team in franchise history was 2005 (you may have heard that the Niners chose Alex Smith over Aaron Rodgers in that year's draft - Rodgers won the Super Bowl five years later and Alex Smith did not do that.) The 5th worst Niners team of all time was 2007 (I'm making a point here - things got dark in Century 21; I mean, Mike Singletary was the head coach and not the worst one we'd have). 

Between 2003-2018 the Niners had 3 winning seasons; 2011,2012,2013 - all three ended on the season's final play in pieces on the ground. I have interested beyond the Niners; I went to USC (for like a second) and have been a Trojans fan since Charlie White. As the Niners slogged through the century's first decade, USC returned to prominence under Pete Carroll; included within that story was a feud with, of all teams, Stanford, who had been resuscitated by Jim Harbaugh. Carroll was LA cool and Harbaugh was a goddamn mad man - and as the calendar turned to the century's second decade, they took their shows to the NFC West - Carroll to helm the Seahawks and Harbaugh to coach your beloved 49ers.  Criss-Cross!

In 2011 - Harbaugh's first San Francisco season - we improved 7 wins, our best record since '97, and advanced all the way to Overtime of the NFC Championship where a Kyle Williams fumbled punt return handed the Giants the Super Bowl birth (they won)  In 2013, Harbaugh's third season - a Colin Kaepernick end zone interception ended the NFC Championship and moved Carroll's Seahawks into the Super Bowl (they won).

But in between was this season; Alex Smith (the guy who wasn't Aaron Rodgers) was replaced at midseason by Colin Kaepernick - his running ability and a choking defense propelled the Niners to the first Super Bowl since '94, where we'd play a solidly inferior Baltimore Ravens team coached by Harbaugh's brother John.  If Brother v Brother sounds like professional wrestling booking - listen to what happened next.

Baltimore took the second half kick back 108 yards to give them a 28-6 lead.  The largest Super Bowl deficit ever overcome (this is no longer true, but was then) was 10 points.  22, it may surprise you, is more than 10.

And then the Superdome stadium lights went out for 34 minutes. 

Halfway through the third quarter Kaepernick hit Michael Crabtree for a 31 yard score to cut it to 28-13.  Two and a half minutes later Frank Gore was in the end zone with a 6 yard score and it was 28-20. A minute and a half after that David Akers kicked a 34 yard FG and it was 28-23.  In less than 5 minutes of game time the Niners scored 17 straight points. 

The Ravens kicked an early 4th Q field goal but Kaepernick was not going to be denied - with 10 minutes left in the game he was in the end zone and the Niners deficit was cut to 31-29 (the failed 2 point conversion attempt was a pass intended for Randy Moss.  Yes, Randy Moss played on the 2012 49ers, he caught 28 balls and retired. 

The next time the Niners got the ball the score was 34-29 with 4 minutes to play.  And just like 1988, they began to drive.

1st down at our own 20 - Gore (probably on his way to the Hall of Fame, if he ever decides to retire) goes off right guard for 8 yards.  

Kaepernick runs for 8 on second down.  We're at our own 36 with 3:40 to play. 

After an incompletion - Kaepernick hit Crabtree over the middle for 24, and man, oh, man, we're at the Raven 40 with 2:47 to play. 

On the next play Gore went around left end for 33.  And man, oh, man, we're at the Raven 7 with 2:39 to play.  

I realize now I shouldn't have written any of that.  The entire section should just be the next four downs.  Pretend you're starting here.  

LaMichael James had 44 carries in his NFL career.  

He got the ball on first down, picking up 2 yards to the 5.

On second down Kaepernick rolled right - looked for Crabtree just outside the goal line near the pylon - incomplete.  

On third down Kaepernick threw to Crabtree again, here, even had he held onto the ball, the gain would have been 2..maybe 3 yards, which is not as many as the five yards needed to win this football game.  

Crabtree did not hold onto the ball and its 4th down.

The Ravens blitzed - Kaepernick threw quickly in the general direction of Crabtree and we were no longer unbeaten in Super Bowl play.

How could it be any other way? Well, other than it always had, I couldn't tell you, Coach.

Anyway, Harbaugh, as it turns out, was pretty much hated by everyone above his pay grade in the organization and was headed to the Big 10 two years later.  Kaepernick would become one of the most famous athletes in the world for entirely praiseworthy reasons that do not include winning football games for the 49ers and we'd again dissolve into irrelevance. 

Fortunately, it wouldn't take another 18 years to return.  7 years later, we were headed back.


2020 Royal Rumble Preview

Thursday, January 23, 2020




The Rumble is Sunday.  Here's the card.

Universal Title: Strap Match: The Fiend Bray Wyatt v. Daniel Bryan
RAW Women's Title: Becky Lynch v. Asuka
Smackdown Women's Title: Bayley v. Lacey Evans
US Title: Andrade (w/Zelina) v. Humberto Carrillo
Falls Count Anywhere: Roman Reigns v. King Corbin
Sheamus v. Shorty G
Men's Rumble Match
Women's Rumble Match

1. Bray Wyatt has magical powers; wrestling in good matches in his current incarnation has so far not been one of them.  The Universal belt is currently the Smackdown belt, Bray took it from Seth Rollins at the Saudi show in October. Roughly, his deal is acts of vengeance against those who have wronged him in the past (roughly's doing a lot of work in that sentence) and so he set his sights on Bryan, with whom he feuded during the Yes! Yes! Yes! deal.  They've given Bryan just enough of this to keep this a viable program and that's gonna end here with Bray keeping the belt.  There's not much reason for workrate optimism.

(Edit, Wyatt keeps, I went 3 1/2 and it's the best you can expect, probably)

2. Becky's had the RAW built since taking it in the 3 way at Mania from Rousey, but they've managed to position her as the chaser in this program, with Asuka being the woman she just can't get by (it's better in theory than in execution).  Becky should win here and it should be pretty good.

(Edit - Becky keeps, I went 3 1/4 and it's a tick disappointing)

3. White meat babyface Bayley is now a heel; she took the Smackdown belt from Charlotte back in October (Becky's a face, Asuka's a heel, Bayley's a heel...I'm not sure what Charlotte is) Without much time in between Evans went from pretty bad cartoonish heel to pretty boring babyface...I mean, I guess a switch makes sense here in a match not worth seeing.  The women's pool gets shallow quickly, and Lacey Evans just shouldn't be in wrestling matches at this level.

(Bayley keeps and this was not good)

4. Andrade's a good worker and he and Zelina have a good act; he took the belt from Rey at an MSG house show and is now programmed with really green Carillo; this feud doesn't seem ripe enough for a title switch. "Nice and little" seem likely adjectives to describe this match.

(moved to pre-show)

5. Reigns has been on the short end of this program so far; that changes here.  Corbin is the male Lacey.

(Regins wins, this was what it was)

6. Chad Gable's currently the victim of the elderly promoter's pathological need to occasionally humiliate his employ..I mean, independent contractors. He's going to lose to Sheamus here in a match too short to matter (not unlike Gable, it appears)

(moved to preshow)

7. Brock's got the RAW belt, he's entering at number one.  That makes for a good dynamic and gives them two reasonably likely ways to book this match;  (1) somebody eliminates Lesnar and that person wins the Rumble and then challenges Lesnar at Mania (2) somebody eliminates Lesnar and that person does not win the Rumble and then still challenges Lesnar at Mania because the person who does win the Rumble challenges Wyatt.  I'll say they do #2 and it's McIntyre who does the eliminating and Reigns who wins.

(Pretty good Rumble, they chose option 1 and made it McIntyre)

8. Maybe Baszler wins?  What's Rousey doing currently?

(Charlotte won, Baszler was last out, it was fine)

That's the show; it's not great, but it's the Rumble and even a bad Rumble is worth watching.

(that's what happened, not great but Rumble matches are always worth watching)

I've done it for Mania, SummerSlam, and Survivor Series.  Here is my ranking of every match in the history of the Royal Rumble.  Times are approximate, star ratings are for the 3 and up matches.  Apologies if I missed anything. Updated through 2019.



     1.         '03 WWF Title: Kurt Angle d. Chris Benoit 20 min 5
   2     '15 WWF Title: Brock Lesnar d. Seth Rollins/John Cena 23 min 4 1/2
   3.       ’00 WWF Title HHH d. Cactus Jack 27 min 4 ¼
   4  ’01 IC Ladder: Chris Jericho d. Chris Benoit 19 min 4 ¼
   5. '17 WWF Title: John Cena d. AJ Styles 24 min 4 1/4
   6. '16 IC Falls Count Anywhere: Dean Ambrose d. Kevin Owens 21:30 4 1/4 
   7  ’04 Rumble Match: (Chris Benoit) 61:30 4
   8 ’92 WWF Title: Rumble Match (Ric Flair) 62 min 4
   9. '18 Rumble Match (Shinsuke Nakamura) 65:30 min 4 
   10 '14 Bray Wyatt d. Daniel Bryan 22 min 4
   11. '17 RAW Title: Kevin Owens d. Roman Reigns 23 min 4
   12 ’91 Rockers d. Orient Express 19 min 4
   13 ’95 WWF Title: Diesel draw Bret Hart 27 min 4
   
   14. '19 Smackdown Womens Title: Asuka d. Becky 17 min 3 3/4 stars
 ’ 15. '10 Rumble Match (Edge) 49:30 3 ¾
      16.      '00 Tables Hardys d. Dudleys 10:30 3 ¾
   17.  ’94 Tags: Quebecers d. Bret/Owen 16:30 3 ¾
   18. ’04 WWF Title: HHH draw HBK 22:30 3 ¾
   19   '11 World: Edge d. Dolph Ziggler 20:30 3 ½  
   20  ’02 WWF Title: Chris Jericho d. Rock 19 min 3 1/2 
   21 ’98 WWF Title: Casket Match: Shawn Michaels d. Undertaker 22 min 3 ½
   22 ’07 WWF Title: Last Man Standing: John Cena d. Umaga 22:30 3 ½
   23. '19 Universal Title: Brock Lesnar d. Finn Balor 9 min 3 1/2 
   24 ’99 WWF Title: I Quit Match: Rock d. Mankind 22 min 3 ½
   25 ’93 WWF Title: Bret Hart d. Razor Ramon 18 min 3 ½
   26 ’11 Rumble Match (Alberto del Rio) 69 min 3 1/2 
   27 ’90 Rumble Match (Hulk Hogan) 59 min 3 ½
   28 ’97 Rumble Match(Steve Austin) 50:30 3 ½
   29 '18 Women's Rumble (Asuka) 59 min 3 1/2
   30. '19 RAW Women's Title: Ronda d. Sasha 14 min 3 1/2 
   31. '17 Cruiser Title: Neville d. Rich Swann 13 min 3 1/2
   32. '18 WWF Title: AJ Styles d. Owens/Zayn 16 min 3 1/2

   33 ’01 WWF Title: Kurt Angle d. HHH 24:30 3 ¼
   34 ’13 WWF Title: Rock d. CM Punk 23:30 3 ¼  
   35 ’93 IC Shawn Michaels d. Marty Jannetty 14:30 3 ¼
   36 ’05 Edge d. Shawn Michaels 18:30 3 ¼
   37. '18 Smackdown Tags: Usos d. Gable/Benjamin 14 min 3 1/4
   38 ’09 WWF Title: Edge d. Jeff Hardy 19:30 3 ¼
   39  '16 WWF Title Rumble Match (HHH) 61:30 3 1/4
   40 ’12 Rumble Match (Sheamus) 55 min 3 ¼
   41 ’05 Rumble Match (Batista) 51:30 3 ¼
   42 ’03 Rumble Match(Brock Lesnar) 53:30 3 ¼
   43 ’00 Rumble Match(Rock) 52 min 3 ¼
   44 ’01 Rumble Match(Steve Austin) 62 min 3 ¼
   45 ’06 Rumble Match (Rey Mysterio) 62 min 3 ¼
   46 ’07 Rumble Match (Undertaker) 56:30 3 ¼
   47 ’89 Rumble Match(John Studd) 64 min 3 ¼
   48 ’98 Rumble Match (Steve Austin) 55:30 3 ¼
   49 ’08 Rumble Match (John Cena) 51:30 3 ¼
   50. '19 WWF Title: Daniel Bryan d. AJ Styles 24:30  3 1/4
   51 '14 WWF Title: Randy Orton d. John Cena 21 min 3 1/4 
   52 ’10 World: Undertaker d. Rey Mysterio 11 min 3 ¼
   53 ’11 WWF: Miz d. Randy Orton 20 min 3 ¼  
   54 ’05 World: HHH d. Randy Orton 21:30 3 ¼
   55 ’07 Hardys d. MNM 15:30 3 ¼

   56 ’12 WWF Title: CM Punk d. Dolph Ziggler 14 min 3
   57 ’01 Tags: Dudleys d. Edge/Christian 10 min 3
   58 ’08 WWF Title: Randy Orton d. Jeff Hardy 14 min 3
   59 ’92 Owen/Anvil d. Orient Express 17 min 3
   60 ’95 Tags: Bob Holly/123 Kid d. Tatanka/Bam Bam Bigelow 15:30 3
   61 ’02 Rumble Match(HHH) 69:30 3
   62 ’94 Rumble Match: (Bret/Lex) 55 min 3
   63 ’93 Rumble Match: (Yokozuna) 66:30 3
   64 ’91 Rumble Match (Hulk Hogan) 65 min 3
   65 ’96 Rumble Match(Shawn Michaels) 59 min 3
6 66. '19 Rumble Match (Rollins) 57:30 min 3
   67 ’99 Rumble Match (Vince McMahon) 56:30 3
   68 ’95 Rumble Match (Shawn Michaels) 39 min 3
   69 ’09 Rumble Match (Randy Orton) 58:30 3
   70 '14 Rumble Match (Batista) 55 min 3
   71 ’13 Rumble Match (John Cena) 55 min 3
   72 '15 Rumble Match (Reigns) 59 min 3
   73 '17 Rumble Match (Orton) 3
   74. '19 Women's Rumble Match (Becky) 72 min 3
   75 ’88 Rumble Match (Jim Duggan) 33:30 3 
   76 ’02 IC: William Regal d. Edge 10 min 3
   77 ’04 Eddy Guerrero d. Chavo Guerrero 8 min 3
   78 ’13 World: Last Man Standing: Alberto del Rio d. Big Show 17 min 3
   79 ’09 ECW: Jack Swagger d. Matt Hardy 10:30 3
   80 ’96 Tags: Smoking Gunns d. Bodydonnas 11 min 3
   81 ’03 Tags: Dudleys d. Regal/Storm 7:30 3
   82 '16 US: Kalisto d. Del Rio 11:30 3
   83. '17: Women's Title: Charlotte d. Bayley 13 min 3
   84 ’97 WWF Title: Shawn Michaels d. Sid 14 min 3
   85 ’89 Haku d. Harley Race 9 min 3
   86 ’97 IC: HHH d. Goldust 17 min 3
   
   87 ’06 Jr.: Gregory Helms d. Kash, Funaki, Noble, Nunzio, London 7:30
   88 ’88 Jumping Bomb Angels d. Glamour Girls 14 min
   89 ’89 Hart Foundation/Duggan d. Dino Bravo/Rougeaus 16 min
   90 ’96 WWF Title: Undertaker d. Bret Hart 29 min
   91 ’08 World: Edge d. Rey Mysterio 12:30
   92 ’88 Ricky Steamboat d. Rick Rude 17 min
   93 ’00 Taz d. Kurt Angle 3 min
   94 ’02 Ric Flair d. Vince McMahon 15 min
   95 ’98 IC Rock d. Shamrock 11 min
   96 ’05 WWF Title: JBL d. Big Show/Kurt Angle 12 min
   97 ’06 WWF Title: John Cena d. Edge 14
   98 ’97 Vader d. Undertaker 13 min
   99 ’13 Tags: Hell No d. Rhodes Scholars 9:30 
   100 ’93 Steiners d. Beverlys 10:30 
   
   101. '18 RAW Tags: Sheamus/Cesaro d. Rollins/Jordan 13 min.
   102. ’07 World: Batista d. Ken Kennedy 10:30
   103. ’90 Ronny Garvin d. Greg Valentine 17 min
   104. '16 Women: Charlotte d. Becky 11:30
   105. ’10 ECW: Christian d. Ezekial Jackson 12 min
   106 ’88 Islanders d. Young Stallions 14 min
   107 ’02 Tags: Taz/Spike Dudley d. Dudleys 5 min
   108  '16 Tags: New Day d. Usos 11 min
   109 ’12 World: Cage: Daniel Bryan d. Big Show/Mark Henry
   110 '19 Smackdown Tags: Miz/Shane d. The Bar 13:30 min
   111 ’00 IC: Chris Jericho d. Chyna d. Bob Holly 7:30
   112 ’08 JBL d. Chris Jericho 9:30
   113 ’10 US: Miz d. MVP 7:30 
   114 ’97 Garza/Aguayo/Canek d. Estrada/Metal/.Guerrera 11 min
   115 ’04 WWF Title: Brock Lesnar d. Bob Holly 6:30
   116 '18 Universal Title: Lesnar d. Kane/Strowman 11 min
   117 '15 Tags: Usos d. Miz/Mizdow 9:30
   118 ’03 Brock Lesnar d. Big Show 6 min
   119 Euro: '99 Sean Waltman d. Gangrel 6 min
   120 ’98 Vader d. Goldust 8 min
   121 ’95 IC Jeff Jarrett d. Razor Ramon 18 min
   122 ’99 IC: Ken Shamrock d. Billy Gunn 14:30
   123 ’04 Jr. Rey Mysterio d. Jamie Noble 3:30
   124  ’91 Boss Man d. Barbarian 14 min
   125 '14 Brock Lesnar d. Big Show 2 min
   
   126’92 IC: Roddy Piper d. Mountie 5:30
   127 ’08 Ric Flair d. MVP 8 min
   128 ’98 Mini/Mosaic/Nova d. Battalion/Torito/Tarantula 8 min
   129 ’97 Ahmed Johnson d. Farooq 9 min
   130 ’96 Ahmed Johnson d. Jeff Jarrett 6:30
   131 ’10 WWF: Sheamus d. Randy Orton 12:30
   132 ’07 ECW: Bobby Lashley d. Test 7:30
   133 ’04 Tags: Evolution d. Dudleys 4:30
   134 ’03 World Title: Scott Steiner d. HHH 18:30
   135 ’09 World John Cena d. JBL 15:30
   136 ’99 Boss Man d. Road Dogg 12 min
   137 ’90 Hacksaw Duggan d. Big Boss Man 10:30
   138  ’91 Ted DiBiase/Virgil d. Dusty/Dustin 10 min
   139 ’00 Tags: New Age Outlaws d. Acolytes 2:30
   140 ’94 Tatanka d. Bam Bam Bigelow 8
   141  ’94 IC: Razor Ramon d. IRS 11:30
   142 ’96 IC: Goldust d. Razor 14:30
   143 ’89 Rockin Robin d. Judy Martin 6:30
   144 ’11 Women: Eve d. Natalya/Layla/Michelle McCool 5 min
   145 '15 Bellas d. Page/Natty 8 min
   146 ’12 Bellas/Beth/Natalya d. Kelly/Eve/Alicia/Tamina 5:30
   147 ’02 Women: Trish d. Jazz 4 min
   148 ’09 Women: Melina d. Beth Phoenix 6:30
   149 ’92 Tags: Natural Disasters d. LOD 9:30
   150 ’98 Tags: LOD d. New Age Outlaws 8 min
   
   151 ’91 Mountie d. Koko 9
   152 ’05 Casket: Undertaker d. Heidenreich 13:30
   153 ’91 WWF Title: Sgt. Slaughter d. Ultimate Warrior 12:30
   154 ’06 World: Kurt Angle d. Mark Henry 9:30
   155  ’93 Bam Bam Bigelow d. Big Boss Man 10 min
   156 ’95 Undertaker d. IRS 12:30
   157 '15 Ascension d. New Age Outlaws 5:30
   158 ’01 Women: Ivory d. Chyna 3:30
   159 ’99 Women: Sable d. Luna 4:30
   160 ’12 Brodus Clay d. Drew McIntyre 1 min
   161  ’06 Boogeyman d. JBL 2 min
   162  ’90 Bushwackers d. Rougeaus 13:30
   163 ’12 John Cena draw Kane 11
   164  ’90 Brutus Beefcake draw Lanny Poffo 11 min
   165  ’92 Beverlys d. Bushwackers 15 min
   166  ’10 Women: Mickie James d. Michelle McCool :30
   167 ’03 Torrie Wilson d. Dawn Marie 3:30
   168 ’06 Women: Mickey James d. Ashley 7:30
      169. '94 WWF Title: Yokozuna d. Undertaker 14:30

January, 2020 Athlete of the Month

2019 is here.

Joe Burrow. 

Runners-up: James Harden, Patrick Mahomes, Raheem Mostert.

Another decade of Athletes of the Month begins with LSU QB Joe Burrow.  A reasonable anticipation would be that the best player in SB54 will follow in February.

Someone's going to be the first Athlete of the Year of the 20s - the nominees are here:

January-Joe Burrow

Super Bowl 54 Pick

Wednesday, January 22, 2020

Well, I'm a Niner fan.

Metrics are split here - SRS likes the Niners, ELO and BPI like the Chiefs; the current line is KC -1 and my guess is the Chiefs will go off as favorites of less than a FG and that's reasonable and I like the Niners to win outright.

Better everywhere but QB, which admittedly is no small issue, I think there's a non zero chance the Niners to do the Chiefs what the Seahawks did to Denver in 2013.  It's SB Championship #6 for San Francisco; our first in a quarter century. 


Top 10 Super Bowl Matchups

Tuesday, January 21, 2020

Using ELO and SRS; I took my list of winner rankings and my list of loser rankings and here's the 10 best matchups in Super Bowl history

Through 53

1. Super Bowl 19: Niners (4th best winner) v. Dolphins (9th best loser)
2. Super Bowl 4: Chiefs (13th best winner) v. Vikings (4th best loser)
3. Super Bowl 48 Seahawks (10th best winner) v. Broncos (11th best loser)
4. Super Bowl 8: Dolphins (5th best winner) v. Vikings (22nd best loser)
5. Super Bowl 1: Packers (8th best winner) v. Chiefs (20th best loser)
6. Super Bowl 49: Patriots (21st best winner) v Seahawks (8th best loser)
7. Super Bowl 13: Steelers (26th best winner) v. Cowboys (6th best loser)
8. Super Bowl 2: Packers (28th best winner) v. Raiders (7th best loser)
9. Super Bowl 33 Broncos (20th best winner) v. Falcons (17th best loser)
10. Super Bowl 11: Raiders (24th best winner) v. Vikings (14th best loser)

Super Bowl Losers Ranked

Monday, January 20, 2020



By ELO and SRS.  Through 53.

1. 2007 Patriots (lost SB50 to Giants, Patriots were better)
2. 1968 Colts (lost SB3 to Jets, Colts were better)
3. 1983 Redskins (lost SB18 to Raiders, Redskins were better)
4. 2001 Rams (lost SB36 to Patriots, Rams were beter)
5. 1969 Vikings (lost SB4 to Chiefs, metrics are split)
6. 1978 Cowboys (lost SB12 to Steelers, metrics are split)
7. 1967 Raiders (lost SB2 to Packers, metrics are split)
8. 2014 Seahawks (lost SB49 to Patriots, metrics are split)
9. 1984 Dolphins (lost SB19 to Niners)
10. 1977 Broncos (lost SB12 to Cowboys, metrics are split)
11. 2013 Broncos (lost SB48 to Seahawks)
12. 2011 Patriots (lost SB46 to Giants, metrics are split)
13. 2017 Patriots (lost SB52 to Eagles, metrics are split)
14. 1976 Vikings (lost SB11 to Raiders, metrics are split)
15. 2012 Niners (lost SB 47 to Ravens, metrics are split)
16. 1997 Packers (lost SB32 to Broncos, metrics are split)
17. 1998 Falcons (lost SB33 to Broncos, metrics are split)
18. 2002 Raiders (lost SB37 to Bucs)
19. 1990 Bills (lost SB25 to Giants, metrics are split)
20. 2019 Niners (lost SB 54 to Chiefs, metrics are split)
21. 2015 Panthers (lost SB50 to Broncos, metrics are split)
22. 1973 Vikings (lost SB8 to Dolphins)
23. 2010 Steelers (lost SB45 to Packers)
24. 1966 Chiefs (lost SB1 to Packers)
25. 2016 Falcons (lost SB51 to Patriots
26. 1980 Eagles (lost SB15 to Raiders, metrics are split)
27. 2005 Seahawks (lost SB40 to Steelers, metrics are split)
28. 1972 Redskins (lost SB7 to Dolphins)
29. 2018 Rams (lost SB53 to Patriots, metrics are split)
30. 2009 Colts (lost SB44 to Saints)
31. 1975 Cowboys (lost SB10 to Steelers)
32. 1985 Patriots lost SB20 to Bears)
33. 1982 Dolphins (lost SB17 to Redskins, metrics are split)
34. 1970 Cowboys (lost SB5 to Colts, metrics are split)
35. 1989 Broncos (lost SB24 to Niners)
36. 1991 Bills (lost SB26 to Redskins)
37. 1971 Dolphins (lost SB6 to Cowboys)
38. 1974 Vikings (lost SB9 to Steelers)
39. 2006 Bears (lost SB41 to Colts)
40. 1999 Titans (lost SB34 to Rams)
41. 1993 Bills (lost SB28 to Cowboys)
42. 1981 Bengals (lost SB16 to Niners)
43. 2004 Eagles (lost SB39 to Patriots)
44. 1988 Bengals (lost SB23 to Niners, metrics are split)
45. 1992 Bills (lost SB27 to Cowboys)
46. 1995 Steelers (lost SB30 to Cowboys)
47. 1986 Broncos (lost SB21 to Giants)
48. 1996 Patriots (lost SB31 to Packers)
49. 1987 Broncos (lost SB22 to Redskins)
50. 2000 Giants (lost SB35 to Ravens)
51. 1994 Chargers (lost SB29 to Niners)
52. 2003 Panthers (lost SB38 to Patriots)
53. 2008 Cardinals (lost SB43 to Steelers)
54. 1979 Rams (lost SB14 to Steelers)

Every Super Bowl Winner Ranked

Sunday, January 19, 2020



Through 54

Rankings are a combination of SRS and ELO with a bent toward modern superiority, my current preferred ranking system.


1. 1985 Bears
2. 2004 Patriots
3. 1996 Packers
4. 1984 Niners
5. 1973 Dolphins
6. 1991 Redskins
7. 1975 Steelers
8. 1966 Packers
9. 1989 Niners
10. 2013 Seahawks
11. 1992 Cowboys
12. 1993 Cowboys
13. 1969 Chiefs
14. 1972 Dolphins
15. 1994 Niners
16. 1986 Giants
17. 1971 Cowboys
18. 2016 Patriots
19. 1979 Steelers
20. 1998 Broncos
21. 2014 Patriots
22. 2010 Packers
23. 1997 Broncos
24. 1976 Raiders
25. 2019 Chiefs
26. 2005 Steelers
27. 1978 Steelers
28. 1995 Cowboys
29. 1967 Packers
30. 1999 Rams
31. 1977 Cowboys
32. 2009 Saints
33. 2002 Bucs
34. 2017 Eagles
35. 2008 Steelers
36. 2003 Patriots
37. 2000 Ravens
38. 1983 Raiders
39. 2006 Colts
40. 1974 Steelers
41. 1990 Giants
42. 1987 Redskins
43. 1968 Jets
44. 2018 Patriots
45. 2015 Broncos
46. 1982 Redskins
47. 1980 Raiders
48. 1988 Niners
49. 1981 Niners
50. 2012 Ravens
51. 2001 Patriots
52. 2011 Giants
53. 2007 Giants
54. 1970 Colts

Approximate Value Super Bowl Champions

Offense

Starters

QB Steve Young 1994 Niners
RB Marshall Faulk 1999 Rams
RB Terrell Davis 1998 Broncos
WR Jerry Rice 1994 Niners
WR Michael Irvin 1995 Cowboys
TE Shannon Sharpe 1997 Broncos
C Jeff Saturday 2006 Colts
G Jahri Evans 2009 Saints
G Alan Faneca 2005 Steelers
T Orlando Pace 1999 Rams
T Jim Lachey 1991 Redskins

Defense

Starters
DE Simeon Rice 2002 Bucs
DT Warren Sapp 2002 Bucs
DE Rob Burnett 2000 Ravens
OLB Derrick Brooks 2002 Bucs
ILB Ray Lewis 2000 Ravens
ILB Pepper Johnson 1990 Giants
OLB Clay Matthews 2010 Packers
CB Richard Sherman 2013 Seahawks
FS Rod Woodson 2000 Ravens
SS Troy Polamalu 2008 Steelers
CB Darrell Green 1991 Redskins

PK Jan Stenerud 1969 Chiefs
P Sean Landetta 1990 Giants

Offense

Reserves

QB Peyton Manning 2006 Colts
      Kurt Warner 1999 Rams
RB Emmitt Smith 1995 Cowboys
      Emmitt Smith 1993 Cowboys
      Emmitt Smith 1992 Cowboys
WR Jerry Rice 1989 Niners
       Michael Irvin 1992 Cowboys
       Gary Clark 1991 Redskins
TE Travis Kelce 2019 Chiefs
C   Mike Webster 1979 Steelers
G   Larry Little 1972 Dolphins
      Nate Newton 1995 Cowboys
T   Keith Fahnhorst 1984 Niners
     Erik Williams 1993 Cowboys

DE Reggie White 1996 Packers
      Richard Dent 1985 Bears
      Kevin Carter 1999 Rams
DT Sam Adams 2000 Ravens
      Steve McMichael 1985 Bears
      Buck Buchanan 1969 Chiefs
OLB James Harrison 2008 Steelers
         Von Miller 2015 Broncos
         Lawrence Taylor 1986 Giants
ILB  Mike Singletary 1985 Bears
CB   Ronnie Lott 1981 Niners
        Lester Hayes 1980 Raiders
        Mel Blount 1975 Steelers
FS   Dick Anderson 1973 Dolphins
SS   LeRoy Butler 1996 Packers



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